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Grad vs Crensovci

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2017/2018
Grad Logo

Grad

2 - 1
FT
Crensovci Logo

Crensovci

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - East 2017/2018 game between Grad and Crensovci finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Grad
20%
Draws
40%
Crensovci
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grad come out ahead of Crensovci on wins alone.
  • Grad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • Grad have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Grad Clean Sheet 20%
Crensovci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grad Crensovci
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.13 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2019 3. SNL - East
Crensovci vs Grad
0:3
Nov 17, 2018 3. SNL - East
Crensovci vs Grad
1:1
Sep 16, 2018 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Crensovci
5:0
Apr 22, 2018 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Crensovci
2:1
Sep 30, 2017 3. SNL - East
Crensovci vs Grad
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grad 85 / 100
Crensovci 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grad Crensovci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grad scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Crensovci conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Crensovci registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grad VS Crensovci
3.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Grad

(Home)
18 Oct
NK Carda Martjanci
1 : 0
Grad
14 Aug
Grad
1 : 4
Krsko Posavje
05 Jun
Koper
4 : 0
Grad
01 Jun
Odranci
1 : 1
Grad
26 May
Grad
3 : 0
Radgona
Page 1 of 6

Crensovci

(Away)
02 Jun
Radgona
10 : 3
Crensovci
26 May
Crensovci
1 : 3
Turnisce
19 May
Tromejnik
3 : 4
Crensovci
11 May
Crensovci
0 : 4
Hotiza
05 May
Odranci
1 : 1
Crensovci
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Beltinci 26 20 4 2 62:21 64
2 NK Polana 26 18 3 5 73:26 57
3 Odranci 26 18 3 5 62:29 57
4 Ljutomer 26 15 4 7 54:38 49
5 Hotiza 26 14 4 8 60:28 46
6 Grad 26 12 5 9 53:31 41
7 Tromejnik 26 10 6 10 44:41 36
8 Crensovci 26 10 5 11 47:54 35
9 Rakican 26 9 5 12 39:46 32
10 Turnisce 26 7 4 15 27:56 25
11 Radgona 26 6 4 16 20:57 22
12 NK Carda Martjanci 26 5 5 16 30:48 20
13 Bogojina 26 6 1 19 23:74 19
14 Slatina 26 4 3 19 25:70 15
Promotion - 3. SNL - Promotion Play Offs 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)