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Grad vs Ljutomer

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2017/2018
Grad Logo

Grad

2 - 2
FT
Ljutomer Logo

Ljutomer

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. SNL - East 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Grad
30%
Draws
39%
Ljutomer
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ljutomer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Grad have won more games recently than Ljutomer.
  • Model gives Grad a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Grad Clean Sheet 20%
Ljutomer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grad Ljutomer
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 6
Draws 6 10
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2019 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Ljutomer
3:1
Nov 11, 2018 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Ljutomer
3:3
Sep 5, 2018 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Grad
3:0
May 19, 2018 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Ljutomer
2:2
Nov 4, 2017 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Grad
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grad 42 / 100
Ljutomer 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grad Ljutomer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grad found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Ljutomer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Solid form: Grad remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ljutomer
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grad

(Home)
18 Oct
NK Carda Martjanci
1 : 0
Grad
14 Aug
Grad
1 : 4
Krsko Posavje
05 Jun
Koper
4 : 0
Grad
01 Jun
Odranci
1 : 1
Grad
26 May
Grad
3 : 0
Radgona
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Ljutomer

(Away)
26 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 2
NK Smartno
19 Sept
Korotan Prevalje
1 : 1
Ljutomer
12 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 1
NK Ormoz
05 Sept
Hajdina
3 : 1
Ljutomer
29 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Sampion Celje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Beltinci 26 20 4 2 62:21 64
2 NK Polana 26 18 3 5 73:26 57
3 Odranci 26 18 3 5 62:29 57
4 Ljutomer 26 15 4 7 54:38 49
5 Hotiza 26 14 4 8 60:28 46
6 Grad 26 12 5 9 53:31 41
7 Tromejnik 26 10 6 10 44:41 36
8 Crensovci 26 10 5 11 47:54 35
9 Rakican 26 9 5 12 39:46 32
10 Turnisce 26 7 4 15 27:56 25
11 Radgona 26 6 4 16 20:57 22
12 NK Carda Martjanci 26 5 5 16 30:48 20
13 Bogojina 26 6 1 19 23:74 19
14 Slatina 26 4 3 19 25:70 15
Promotion - 3. SNL - Promotion Play Offs 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)