Sport Picks

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Grad vs Radgona

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. SNL - East 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Grad
20%
Draws
16%
Radgona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Grad have won more games recently than Radgona.
  • Grad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Grad Clean Sheet 12%
Radgona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grad Radgona
Matches Played 34 37
Wins 21 4
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 30
Goals Scored 2.18 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.09 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 3.53 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2019 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Radgona
3:0
Oct 21, 2018 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Radgona
1:0
Aug 18, 2018 3. SNL - East
Radgona vs Grad
1:1
May 13, 2018 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Radgona
2:2
Oct 28, 2017 3. SNL - East
Radgona vs Grad
0:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grad 83 / 100
Radgona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grad Radgona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grad scored in 88% of their last 34 outings.

Radgona has conceded goals in 92% of their last 37 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Radgona's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Grad VS Radgona
1.43 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 5.63
86% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 100%
57% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Grad

(Home)
18 Oct
NK Carda Martjanci
1 : 0
Grad
14 Aug
Grad
1 : 4
Krsko Posavje
05 Jun
Koper
4 : 0
Grad
01 Jun
Odranci
1 : 1
Grad
26 May
Grad
3 : 0
Radgona
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Radgona

(Away)
09 Nov
Dravinja
7 : 0
Radgona
02 Nov
Radgona
0 : 0
Verzej
26 Oct
Korotan Prevalje
2 : 0
Radgona
19 Oct
Radgona
0 : 5
NK Smartno
12 Oct
Zrece
2 : 0
Radgona
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Beltinci 26 20 4 2 62:21 64
2 NK Polana 26 18 3 5 73:26 57
3 Odranci 26 18 3 5 62:29 57
4 Ljutomer 26 15 4 7 54:38 49
5 Hotiza 26 14 4 8 60:28 46
6 Grad 26 12 5 9 53:31 41
7 Tromejnik 26 10 6 10 44:41 36
8 Crensovci 26 10 5 11 47:54 35
9 Rakican 26 9 5 12 39:46 32
10 Turnisce 26 7 4 15 27:56 25
11 Radgona 26 6 4 16 20:57 22
12 NK Carda Martjanci 26 5 5 16 30:48 20
13 Bogojina 26 6 1 19 23:74 19
14 Slatina 26 4 3 19 25:70 15
Promotion - 3. SNL - Promotion Play Offs 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)