Sport Picks

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Grad vs Verzej

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2018/2019
Grad Logo

Grad

3 - 1
FT
Verzej Logo

Verzej

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - East 2018/2019 game between Grad and Verzej finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Grad
30%
Draws
23%
Verzej
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Grad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Grad taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 57.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Grad Clean Sheet 15%
Verzej Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grad Verzej
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 18 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 2.13 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2019 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Verzej
3:1
Oct 27, 2018 3. SNL - East
Verzej vs Grad
1:2
Aug 26, 2018 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Verzej
2:2
Apr 14, 2013 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Verzej
1:4
Sep 15, 2012 3. SNL - East
Verzej vs Grad
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grad 84 / 100
Verzej 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grad Verzej

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grad scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Verzej conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Verzej has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grad VS Verzej
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 3.75
80% Over 1.5 100%
60% Over 2.5 100%
40% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Grad

(Home)
18 Oct
NK Carda Martjanci
1 : 0
Grad
14 Aug
Grad
1 : 4
Krsko Posavje
05 Jun
Koper
4 : 0
Grad
01 Jun
Odranci
1 : 1
Grad
26 May
Grad
3 : 0
Radgona
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Verzej

(Away)
18 Oct
NK Gancani
5 : 2
Verzej
19 Oct
Cven
2 : 0
Verzej
02 Nov
Radgona
0 : 0
Verzej
26 Oct
Verzej
3 : 3
Bistrica
19 Oct
Verzej
0 : 4
Sampion Celje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grad 27 18 6 3 63:25 60
2 Odranci 27 17 8 2 62:26 59
3 NK Polana 27 16 4 7 57:39 52
4 Ljutomer 27 13 8 6 59:42 47
5 Verzej 27 11 8 8 47:41 41
6 Crensovci 27 10 2 15 39:65 32
7 Turnisce 27 7 6 14 36:59 27
8 Tromejnik 27 7 3 17 39:59 24
9 Hotiza 27 4 8 15 29:51 20
10 Radgona 27 3 5 19 28:52 14
Promotion - 3. SNL - Promotion Play Offs (Promotion - Play Offs)