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Gradina Srebrenik vs Doboj Kakanj

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - FBiH 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gradina Srebrenik play Doboj Kakanj in the Prva Liga - FBiH 2023/2024. Gradina Srebrenik are favorites here. Recently, Gradina Srebrenik averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Doboj Kakanj averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. In past meetings, Gradina Srebrenik won 2, Doboj Kakanj won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 18, 2024 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Gradina Srebrenik and 0.88 for Doboj Kakanj. This points to a Gradina Srebrenik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Gradina Srebrenik
20%
Draws
23%
Doboj Kakanj
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gradina Srebrenik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gradina Srebrenik picked up more points recently compared to Doboj Kakanj.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Gradina Srebrenik Clean Sheet 25%
Doboj Kakanj Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gradina Srebrenik Doboj Kakanj
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.16 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gradina Srebrenik vs Doboj Kakanj
3:2
Oct 22, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
Doboj Kakanj vs Gradina Srebrenik
0:0
May 24, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gradina Srebrenik vs Doboj Kakanj
2:1
Nov 5, 2022 Prva Liga - FBiH
Doboj Kakanj vs Gradina Srebrenik
4:2
Apr 2, 2022 Prva Liga - FBiH
Doboj Kakanj vs Gradina Srebrenik
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gradina Srebrenik Compare

Top Goalscorer Andric D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salkanovic K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Doboj Kakanj Compare

Top Goalscorer Grahic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sijamija D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gradina Srebrenik 56 / 100
Doboj Kakanj 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gradina Srebrenik Doboj Kakanj

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gradina Srebrenik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Gradina Srebrenik & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gradina Srebrenik attacking → ← attacking Doboj Kakanj

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gradina Srebrenik scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Doboj Kakanj let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Gradina Srebrenik went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Doboj Kakanj lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 16
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sloboda Tuzla30216354:2069
2Stupcanica30195654:2462
3Bratstvo Gracanica301641043:3652
4Celik Zenica301210840:3146
5Tomislav30129948:4045
6Gornji Rahic301361145:4145
7Gorazde301271136:2943
8BFK Simm Bau301171250:5240
9Banovici301161336:4239
10Gradacac301251340:3638
11Hadzici309101129:3537
12TOSK Tesanj301131640:4436
13Gradina Srebrenik30971425:4334
14Jedinstvo Bihac30961527:5133
15Kakanj30791433:4230
16Doboj Kakanj30442233:6716