Sport Picks
Gradina Srebrenik vs Tomislav Prediction & H2H Stats
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Prva Liga - FBiH 2024/2025 Gradski stadion, Srebrenik 
Match Events
44'
44'
Cerdic M.
62'
62'
Sub
Sisko B. In: Music S.
Out: Sisko B.
64'
64'
Sub
Stjepanovic S. In: Aletic E.
Out: Stjepanovic S.
AI Match Summary
Gradina Srebrenik in this Prva Liga - FBiH 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gradina Srebrenik.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Gradina Srebrenik have won more games recently than Tomislav.
- Win probability leans Gradina Srebrenik's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Tomislav have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gradina Srebrenik Clean Sheet 19%
Tomislav Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gradina Srebrenik | Tomislav |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gradina Srebrenik vs Tomislav
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
Tomislav vs Gradina Srebrenik
3:1
Jun 9, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gradina Srebrenik vs Tomislav
1:4
Nov 18, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
Tomislav vs Gradina Srebrenik
2:1
Mar 18, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
Tomislav vs Gradina Srebrenik
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gradina Srebrenik Compare
Top Goalscorer Dugalic E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77
Tomislav Compare
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gradina Srebrenik 36 / 100
Tomislav 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gradina Srebrenik Tomislav
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Tomislav conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Gradina Srebrenik's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Solid form: Gradina Srebrenik remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Tomislav
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Gradina Srebrenik
(Home) 28 Oct
Gradina Srebrenik
1 : 4 Siroki Brijeg
08 Jun
Celik Zenica
1 : 1 Gradina Srebrenik
31 May
Gradina Srebrenik
2 : 1 Gorazde
21 May
Banovici
0 : 0 Gradina Srebrenik
17 May
Gradina Srebrenik
0 : 4 TOSK Tesanj
Page 1 of 6
28 Oct
Gradina Srebrenik
1 : 4 Siroki Brijeg
31 May
Gradina Srebrenik
2 : 1 Gorazde
17 May
Gradina Srebrenik
0 : 4 TOSK Tesanj
03 May
Gradina Srebrenik
0 : 1 Bratstvo Gracanica
19 Apr
Gradina Srebrenik
1 : 0 Tomislav
Page 1 of 3
Tomislav
(Away) 03 Oct
Capljina
4 : 2 Tomislav
27 Sept
Tomislav
2 : 2 Igman Konjic
19 Sept
Bratstvo Gracanica
2 : 2 Tomislav
12 Sept
Tomislav
2 : 1 Stupcanica
05 Sept
Jedinstvo Bihac
4 : 0 Tomislav
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Capljina
4 : 2 Tomislav
19 Sept
Bratstvo Gracanica
2 : 2 Tomislav
05 Sept
Jedinstvo Bihac
4 : 0 Tomislav
23 Aug
Sloboda Tuzla
3 : 0 Tomislav
07 Aug
Posusje
3 : 1 Tomislav
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stupcanica | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 50:29 | 54 |
| 2 | Bratstvo Gracanica | 28 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 38:38 | 46 |
| 3 | Celik Zenica | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 40:29 | 45 |
| 4 | Hadzici | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 41:31 | 45 |
| 5 | Banovici | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 42:33 | 43 |
| 6 | Travnik | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 37:30 | 42 |
| 7 | Tuzla City | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:33 | 42 |
| 8 | Tomislav | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:28 | 41 |
| 9 | TOSK Tesanj | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 41:38 | 40 |
| 10 | Jedinstvo Bihac | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 32:32 | 39 |
| 11 | Gradina Srebrenik | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 35:36 | 37 |
| 12 | Gorazde | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 32:35 | 35 |
| 13 | Gradacac | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 43:40 | 33 |
| 14 | Gornji Rahic | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 43:56 | 31 |
| 15 | Radnicki Lukavac | 28 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 23:80 | 7 |
Promotion - WWIN Liga BiH 2025/2026 (Main)
