Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Graficar Beograd vs Dubocica

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Vasiljevic F.
28'
Papovic B.
36' Event
Ivic D.

AI Match Summary

Dubocica in this Mozzart Bet Prva Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dubocica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Graficar Beograd
20%
Draws
36%
Dubocica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Graficar Beograd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Graficar Beograd lately — more wins on the board than Dubocica.
  • Dubocica are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Graficar Beograd Clean Sheet 13%
Dubocica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Graficar Beograd Dubocica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 3 8
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Graficar Beograd vs Dubocica
1:4
May 11, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Graficar Beograd vs Dubocica
3:1
Mar 9, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Graficar Beograd vs Dubocica
2:1
Sep 29, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Dubocica vs Graficar Beograd
1:1
Dec 8, 2024 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Graficar Beograd vs Dubocica
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Graficar Beograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Bijelovic L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Dubocica Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivic D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stojanovic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Graficar Beograd 27 / 100
Dubocica 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Graficar Beograd Dubocica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dubocica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Graficar Beograd found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Dubocica has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Graficar Beograd stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Graficar Beograd VS Dubocica
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Graficar Beograd

(Home)
28 Sept
Graficar Beograd
4 : 1
Teleoptik
21 Sept
Metalac
1 : 0
Graficar Beograd
17 Sept
Graficar Beograd
3 : 0
OFK Bor 1919
12 Sept
Vrsac
4 : 1
Graficar Beograd
05 Sept
Borac 1926
2 : 1
Graficar Beograd
Page 1 of 6

Dubocica

(Away)
28 Sept
Dubocica
1 : 1
Javor
21 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
0 : 0
Dubocica
16 Sept
Dubocica
2 : 0
Teleoptik
11 Sept
Metalac
5 : 0
Dubocica
06 Sept
Dubocica
1 : 2
OFK Bor 1919
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borac 1926 11 8 1 2 20:13 25
2 TSC Backa Topola 11 5 6 0 20:12 21
3 Smederevo 11 6 3 2 20:13 21
4 Vrsac 11 7 0 4 16:11 21
5 Javor 11 5 5 1 26:13 20
6 Metalac 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
7 Spartak Subotica 11 4 3 4 18:17 15
8 FK Vozdovac 11 4 3 4 11:10 15
9 Loznica 11 3 6 2 16:16 15
10 Dubocica 11 4 3 4 13:15 15
11 Napredak 11 4 2 5 10:15 14
12 Proleter 023 11 2 4 5 13:15 10
13 Graficar Beograd 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
14 OFK Bor 1919 11 2 2 7 7:19 8
15 Jedinstvo Ub 11 2 1 8 11:21 7
16 Teleoptik 11 1 4 6 12:23 7
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Relegation Group)