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Graficar Beograd vs Loznica Prediction & H2H Stats

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Purtic S.
23'
Trajkovski S.
42'
Stojanovic S.

AI Match Summary

The Mozzart Bet Prva Liga game between Graficar Beograd and Loznica finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Graficar Beograd
20%
Draws
46%
Loznica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Loznica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Loznica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Graficar Beograd a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mozzart Bet Prva Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Graficar Beograd Clean Sheet 68%
Loznica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Graficar Beograd Loznica
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 3 11
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 1.03 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Graficar Beograd vs Loznica
2:2
Feb 28, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Loznica vs Graficar Beograd
1:0
Sep 25, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Graficar Beograd vs Loznica
1:2
Nov 5, 2022 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Loznica vs Graficar Beograd
2:1
Aug 6, 2022 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Graficar Beograd vs Loznica
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Graficar Beograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Tucker J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Subotic V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Loznica Compare

Top Goalscorer Purtic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Katanic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Graficar Beograd 50 / 100
Loznica 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Graficar Beograd Loznica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Graficar Beograd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Graficar Beograd found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Loznica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 29 matches.

Graficar Beograd has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Graficar Beograd VS Loznica
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Graficar Beograd

(Home)
28 Sept
Graficar Beograd
4 : 1
Teleoptik
21 Sept
Metalac
1 : 0
Graficar Beograd
17 Sept
Graficar Beograd
3 : 0
OFK Bor 1919
12 Sept
Vrsac
4 : 1
Graficar Beograd
05 Sept
Borac 1926
2 : 1
Graficar Beograd
Page 1 of 6

Loznica

(Away)
28 Sept
Loznica
2 : 0
Spartak Subotica
21 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 3
Loznica
17 Sept
Loznica
2 : 2
Javor
12 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
4 : 0
Loznica
06 Sept
Loznica
1 : 1
Teleoptik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borac 1926 11 8 1 2 20:13 25
2 TSC Backa Topola 11 5 6 0 20:12 21
3 Smederevo 11 6 3 2 20:13 21
4 Vrsac 11 7 0 4 16:11 21
5 Javor 11 5 5 1 26:13 20
6 Metalac 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
7 Spartak Subotica 11 4 3 4 18:17 15
8 FK Vozdovac 11 4 3 4 11:10 15
9 Loznica 11 3 6 2 16:16 15
10 Dubocica 11 4 3 4 13:15 15
11 Napredak 11 4 2 5 10:15 14
12 Proleter 023 11 2 4 5 13:15 10
13 Graficar Beograd 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
14 OFK Bor 1919 11 2 2 7 7:19 8
15 Jedinstvo Ub 11 2 1 8 11:21 7
16 Teleoptik 11 1 4 6 12:23 7
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Relegation Group)