Sport Picks
Graficar Beograd vs Smederevo
Serbia
Mozzart Bet Prva Liga Stadion Rajko Mitić, Belgrade 
Match Events
24'
24'
Jevremovic J.
24'
24'
Lukovic S.
38'
38'
Maric B.
AI Match Summary
The Mozzart Bet Prva Liga game between Graficar Beograd and Smederevo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Smederevo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Smederevo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Smederevo come out ahead of Graficar Beograd on wins alone.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Smederevo taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Graficar Beograd Clean Sheet 11%
Smederevo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Graficar Beograd | Smederevo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Graficar Beograd vs Smederevo
1:2
Apr 21, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Graficar Beograd vs Smederevo
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Graficar Beograd vs Smederevo
0:0
Sep 6, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs Graficar Beograd
0:1
Dec 14, 2024 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs Graficar Beograd
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Graficar Beograd Compare
Top Goalscorer Obasi P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Smederevo Compare
Top Goalscorer Mitrovic S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Petkoski Cimbaljevic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Graficar Beograd 22 / 100
Smederevo 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Graficar Beograd Smederevo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Smederevo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Graficar Beograd scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Smederevo has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Graficar Beograd has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Graficar Beograd VS Smederevo
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Graficar Beograd
(Home) 21 Sept
Metalac
1 : 0 Graficar Beograd
17 Sept
Graficar Beograd
3 : 0 OFK Bor 1919
12 Sept
Vrsac
4 : 1 Graficar Beograd
05 Sept
Borac 1926
2 : 1 Graficar Beograd
31 Aug
Graficar Beograd
1 : 4 Dubocica
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Graficar Beograd
3 : 0 OFK Bor 1919
31 Aug
Graficar Beograd
1 : 4 Dubocica
19 Aug
Graficar Beograd
2 : 2 Loznica
09 Aug
Graficar Beograd
1 : 2 Smederevo
18 Jul
Graficar Beograd
1 : 0 Vrsac
Page 1 of 3
Smederevo
(Away) 21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4 Smederevo
16 Sept
Smederevo
2 : 1 Spartak Subotica
12 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 1 Smederevo
05 Sept
Smederevo
1 : 3 Javor
30 Aug
TSC Backa Topola
1 : 1 Smederevo
Page 1 of 7
21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4 Smederevo
12 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 1 Smederevo
30 Aug
TSC Backa Topola
1 : 1 Smederevo
19 Aug
Metalac
0 : 0 Smederevo
09 Aug
Graficar Beograd
1 : 2 Smederevo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borac 1926 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 18:11 | 24 |
| 2 | Vrsac | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 16:10 | 21 |
| 3 | TSC Backa Topola | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 | Javor | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 25:12 | 19 |
| 5 | Smederevo | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 6 | Spartak Subotica | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 7 | Metalac | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 14 |
| 8 | FK Vozdovac | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 9 | Dubocica | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | 14 |
| 10 | Napredak | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | 13 |
| 11 | Loznica | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 12 | OFK Bor 1919 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 13 | Proleter 023 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 14 | Jedinstvo Ub | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 15 | Graficar Beograd | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Teleoptik | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:19 | 7 |
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Relegation Group)
