Sport Picks

Graficar Beograd vs Spartak Subotica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga

Spartak Subotica

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Graficar Beograd host Spartak Subotica in the Mozzart Bet Prva Liga. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Spartak Subotica have shipped 2.07 goals a game lately, while Graficar Beograd have conceded 1.48 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor Graficar Beograd slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 1, 2023, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.69, favoring Graficar Beograd. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

Graficar Beograd

15%

Draws

28%

Spartak Subotica

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Graficar Beograd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

Spartak Subotica haven't matched Graficar Beograd's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Graficar Beograd's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Graficar Beograd Clean Sheet 13%

Spartak Subotica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Graficar Beograd	Spartak Subotica
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	9	5
Draws	2	6
Losses	18	18
Goals Scored	1.07	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.48	2.07
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2023 Mozzart Serbian Cup

Graficar Beograd vs Spartak Subotica

2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Graficar Beograd 84 / 100

Spartak Subotica 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Graficar Beograd Spartak Subotica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Graficar Beograd Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Subotica let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Graficar Beograd scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Spartak Subotica has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Graficar Beograd VS Spartak Subotica

1.5 Goals Scored 1.13

2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History