Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gramadense vs Brasil de Pelotas

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Kerlly

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Gramadense
35%
Draws
47%
Brasil de Pelotas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brasil de Pelotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Brasil de Pelotas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Brasil de Pelotas's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Brasil de Pelotas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gramadense, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 21%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gramadense Brasil de Pelotas
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 13 14
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 0.89 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Pelotas vs Gramadense
1:1
Jul 23, 2026 Copa FGF
Brasil de Pelotas vs Gramadense
2:2
Jul 12, 2026 Copa FGF
Gramadense vs Brasil de Pelotas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gramadense Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerlly
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Brasil de Pelotas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gramadense 29 / 100
Brasil de Pelotas 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gramadense Brasil de Pelotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brasil de Pelotas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gramadense's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Gramadense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Brasil de Pelotas has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gramadense VS Brasil de Pelotas
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gramadense

(Home)
19 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
Gramadense
16 Sept
Gramadense
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
12 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
3 : 1
Gramadense
09 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 0
Gramadense
05 Sept
Gramadense
2 : 2
EC Guarani
Page 1 of 6

Brasil de Pelotas

(Away)
19 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
13 Sept
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
0 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
09 Sept
Veranopolis
1 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
06 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0
Lajeadense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Brasil de Pelotas 2
Santa Cruz RS 1
Gramadense 2
GE Bage 1
Final
Brasil de Pelotas 2
Gramadense 3