Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
29'
29'
Pedrinho
(Penalty)
45'
45'
Ferreira Dos Santos W.
AI Match Summary
The Gaucho 2 game between Gramadense and EC Guarani finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: EC Guarani
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and EC Guarani come out ahead of Gramadense on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 20%
EC Guarani Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gramadense | EC Guarani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 15 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 1.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.09 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Gaucho 2
Gramadense vs EC Guarani
2:2
Oct 26, 2024 Gaucho 3
EC Guarani vs Gramadense
4:1
Sep 22, 2024 Gaucho 3
Gramadense vs EC Guarani
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gramadense Compare
Top Goalscorer Wilsinho
1 Goals Assists Leader Dieter
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
EC Guarani Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferreira Dos Santos W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gramadense 32 / 100
EC Guarani 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gramadense EC Guarani
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.
Gramadense found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (35 games).
Solid form: Gramadense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
EC Guarani has conceded goals in 44% of their last 27 outings.
Scoring Trends
Gramadense VS EC Guarani
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Gramadense
(Home) 05 Sept
Gramadense
2 : 2 EC Guarani
01 Sept
Aimore
2 : 0 Gramadense
23 Aug
Gramadense
0 : 0 Apafut
20 Aug
Gramadense
1 : 1 Lajeadense
16 Aug
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 1 Gramadense
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Gramadense
2 : 2 EC Guarani
23 Aug
Gramadense
0 : 0 Apafut
20 Aug
Gramadense
1 : 1 Lajeadense
09 Aug
Gramadense
0 : 2 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
01 Aug
Gramadense
0 : 1 Veranopolis
Page 1 of 4
EC Guarani
(Away) 05 Sept
Gramadense
2 : 2 EC Guarani
01 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 0 Lajeadense
26 Aug
GE Bage
1 : 0 EC Guarani
23 Aug
Brasil de Farroupilha
3 : 3 EC Guarani
16 Aug
EC Guarani
1 : 3 SC Gaucho
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Gramadense
2 : 2 EC Guarani
26 Aug
GE Bage
1 : 0 EC Guarani
23 Aug
Brasil de Farroupilha
3 : 3 EC Guarani
12 Aug
GE Gloria
1 : 2 EC Guarani
01 Aug
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0 : 0 EC Guarani
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veranopolis | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 11:5 | 21 |
| 2 | Passo Fundo | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 14:6 | 20 |
| 3 | Santa Cruz RS | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 11:5 | 20 |
| 4 | Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 10:5 | 19 |
| 5 | Esportivo Bento Goncalves | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 13:8 | 18 |
| 6 | Brasil de Farroupilha | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 13:9 | 18 |
| 7 | Apafut | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:9 | 16 |
| 8 | Aimore | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 16 |
| 9 | Brasil de Pelotas | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 10:8 | 15 |
| 10 | Pelotas | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11:13 | 14 |
| 11 | EC Guarani | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | 13 |
| 12 | SC Gaucho | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:9 | 12 |
| 13 | GE Bage | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:15 | 10 |
| 14 | GE Gloria | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8:12 | 9 |
| 15 | Gramadense | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Lajeadense | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4:18 | 2 |
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)
