Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gramadense vs GE Bage

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Sun, Jul 5, 2026
1 - 1
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
1' Event
(Penalty)
1' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Gramadense
35%
Draws
43%
GE Bage
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: GE Bage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gramadense come out ahead of GE Bage on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans GE Bage's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Gramadense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 21%
GE Bage Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gramadense GE Bage
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 5
Draws 12 13
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.96 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Copa FGF
Gramadense vs GE Bage
1:1
Jun 27, 2026 Copa FGF
GE Bage vs Gramadense
0:1
May 31, 2025 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Gramadense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gramadense 29 / 100
GE Bage 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gramadense GE Bage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GE Bage Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gramadense scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

GE Bage has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Gramadense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Gramadense VS GE Bage
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gramadense

(Home)
09 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 0
Gramadense
05 Sept
Gramadense
2 : 2
EC Guarani
01 Sept
Aimore
2 : 0
Gramadense
23 Aug
Gramadense
0 : 0
Apafut
20 Aug
Gramadense
1 : 1
Lajeadense
Page 1 of 6

GE Bage

(Away)
06 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
SC Gaucho
01 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
Passo Fundo
26 Aug
GE Bage
1 : 0
EC Guarani
22 Aug
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 : 1
GE Bage
15 Aug
Aimore
2 : 1
GE Bage
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Brasil de Pelotas 2
Santa Cruz RS 1
Gramadense 2
GE Bage 1
Final
Brasil de Pelotas 2
Gramadense 3