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Gran Pena vs Racing Club Villalbes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Javi Muino

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 game between Gran Pena and Racing Club Villalbes finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Club Villalbes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Gran Pena
30%
Draws
47%
Racing Club Villalbes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Racing Club Villalbes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Racing Club Villalbes have managed 1.06 goals a game lately — Gran Pena are scoring more at 1.83.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Gran Pena Clean Sheet 16%
Racing Club Villalbes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gran Pena Racing Club Villalbes
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 13
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.83 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Racing Club Villalbes
0:1
May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Racing Club Villalbes
4:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Villalbes vs Gran Pena
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Villalbes vs Gran Pena
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Racing Club Villalbes
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gran Pena Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Racing Club Villalbes Compare

Top Goalscorer Javi Muino
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gran Pena 31 / 100
Racing Club Villalbes 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gran Pena Racing Club Villalbes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Racing Club Villalbes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gran Pena found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Racing Club Villalbes conceded in 58% of 33 recent games.

Solid form: Gran Pena remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gran Pena VS Racing Club Villalbes
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gran Pena

(Home)
01 Nov
Gran Pena
0 : 1
Racing Club Villalbes
25 Oct
CD Boiro
1 : 0
Gran Pena
18 Oct
Gran Pena
1 : 2
Celtiga
11 Oct
Montaneros
3 : 1
Gran Pena
04 Oct
Gran Pena
3 : 2
Atletico Arteixo
Page 1 of 6

Racing Club Villalbes

(Away)
01 Nov
Gran Pena
0 : 1
Racing Club Villalbes
25 Oct
Racing Club Villalbes
1 : 1
Alondras
18 Oct
Viveiro
1 : 1
Racing Club Villalbes
11 Oct
Racing Club Villalbes
1 : 2
Estradense
03 Oct
Silva SD
0 : 0
Racing Club Villalbes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 9 6 2 1 14:7 20
2 Barco 9 4 3 2 13:8 15
3 Sarriana 9 4 3 2 15:12 15
4 Lalin 9 4 3 2 9:8 15
5 Racing Club Villalbes 9 3 5 1 11:9 14
6 Estradense 9 4 2 3 15:15 14
7 Silva SD 9 4 2 3 13:13 14
8 Pontevedra B 9 4 1 4 13:9 13
9 Atletico Arteixo 9 3 4 2 15:14 13
10 Antela 9 3 4 2 8:8 13
11 Portonovo SD 9 3 3 3 11:10 12
12 Alondras 9 3 3 3 12:12 12
13 Arenteiro 9 3 1 5 12:13 10
14 Celtiga 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
15 Montaneros 9 3 0 6 12:19 9
16 Somozas 9 1 5 3 8:10 8
17 Gran Pena 9 2 1 6 10:15 7
18 Viveiro 9 1 2 6 5:12 5
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)