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Gran Pena vs Silva SD

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Alonso O.
Own Goal
56' Event
Coira A.
57' Event
Lopez F.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Gran Pena and Silva SD finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gran Pena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gran Pena
20%
Draws
44%
Silva SD
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Silva SD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gran Pena come out ahead of Silva SD on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gran Pena's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Gran Pena Clean Sheet 10%
Silva SD Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gran Pena Silva SD
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 11
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.83 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.51
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Silva SD
4:1
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Gran Pena
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Silva SD
0:3
Sep 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Gran Pena
0:0
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Gran Pena
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gran Pena Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Coira A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Silva SD Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gran Pena 40 / 100
Silva SD 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gran Pena Silva SD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gran Pena scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Silva SD's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gran Pena stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gran Pena VS Silva SD
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gran Pena

(Home)
06 Sept
Gran Pena
1 : 2
Lalin
10 May
Noia
1 : 5
Gran Pena
03 May
Gran Pena
4 : 1
Racing Club Villalbes
26 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 4
Gran Pena
19 Apr
Gran Pena
0 : 2
Alondras
Page 1 of 6

Silva SD

(Away)
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
09 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2
Silva SD
03 May
Silva SD
5 : 2
Noia
26 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 3
Silva SD
19 Apr
Silva SD
3 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)