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Gran Tarajal vs Ibarra Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Gran Tarajal
15%
Draws
76%
Ibarra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ibarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ibarra lately — more wins on the board than Gran Tarajal.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Ibarra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Gran Tarajal Clean Sheet 17%
Ibarra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gran Tarajal Ibarra
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 4 19
Draws 9 5
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.57 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Gran Tarajal
4:0
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Gran Tarajal vs Ibarra
0:0
Jan 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Gran Tarajal vs Ibarra
0:2
Sep 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Gran Tarajal
1:1
Feb 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Gran Tarajal
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gran Tarajal 28 / 100
Ibarra 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gran Tarajal Ibarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ibarra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ibarra has conceded goals in 60% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Gran Tarajal's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Gran Tarajal stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ibarra
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gran Tarajal

(Home)
12 May
Ibarra
4 : 0
Gran Tarajal
05 May
Gran Tarajal
2 : 2
Atletico Victoria
01 May
San Bartolome
2 : 0
Gran Tarajal
28 Apr
CD La Cuadra
2 : 0
Gran Tarajal
24 Apr
Gran Tarajal
0 : 1
CD Buzanada
Page 1 of 6

Ibarra

(Away)
24 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0
Ibarra
17 May
Ibarra
1 : 0
Tamaraceite
11 May
Ibarra
3 : 1
Tamaraceite
04 May
Las Palmas B
2 : 0
Ibarra
26 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0
Herbania
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife B 34 24 8 2 68:22 80
2 Lanzarote 34 22 9 3 64:28 75
3 Union Sur Yaiza 34 21 11 2 62:19 74
4 Las Palmas B 34 22 8 4 74:24 74
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 52:39 55
6 Arucas 34 11 14 9 51:41 47
7 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 13 11 35:38 43
8 San Bartolome 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
9 Villa Santa Brigida 34 9 14 11 41:36 41
10 Tamaraceite 34 11 8 15 42:56 41
11 CD Marino 34 10 9 15 42:53 39
12 CD Buzanada 34 9 12 13 29:42 39
13 Herbania 34 9 11 14 30:46 38
14 Ibarra 34 9 9 16 35:45 36
15 Atletico Victoria 34 8 8 18 33:53 32
16 Teror 34 6 8 20 29:67 26
17 Gran Tarajal 34 4 12 18 21:54 24
18 CD La Cuadra 34 6 4 24 26:72 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 (Play Offs)