Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 encounter between Gran Tarajal and Tenerife B promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Gran Tarajal averages 0.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded in recent matches. Tenerife B shows a form average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Gran Tarajal, 3 wins for Tenerife B, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 28.01.24 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.23 for Gran Tarajal and 1.55 for Tenerife B, suggesting the primary value lies in the Tenerife B double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Gran Tarajal picked up more points recently compared to Tenerife B.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.55 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gran Tarajal | Tenerife B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.57 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.68 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Tactical Matchup Profile
Field Positions & Control Styles
Gran Tarajal
Tenerife B
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gran Tarajal Compare
Tenerife B Compare
Availability Alerts
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Expected Match Flow Timeline
Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals
Tenerife B will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Gran Tarajal will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Tenerife B's early runs.
Expect Tenerife B to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Gran Tarajal tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Tenerife B increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Gran Tarajal's defense, opening up opportunities for Tenerife B's forward line.
Expect Tenerife B to manage the closing stages, while Gran Tarajal searches for late drama.
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gran Tarajal have found the net in 37% of their last 30 matches.
Tenerife B have conceded at least one goal in 81% of their last 31 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.40 goals per match.
Gran Tarajal remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Tenerife B suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Match Risk Analysis
Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife B | 34 | 24 | 8 | 2 | 68:22 | 80 |
| 2 | Lanzarote | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 64:28 | 75 |
| 3 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 62:19 | 74 |
| 4 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 74:24 | 74 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 52:39 | 55 |
| 6 | Arucas | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51:41 | 47 |
| 7 | CD Santa Ursula | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 35:38 | 43 |
| 8 | San Bartolome | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 9 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 41:36 | 41 |
| 10 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:56 | 41 |
| 11 | CD Marino | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 42:53 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Buzanada | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 29:42 | 39 |
| 13 | Herbania | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:46 | 38 |
| 14 | Ibarra | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 35:45 | 36 |
| 15 | Atletico Victoria | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 33:53 | 32 |
| 16 | Teror | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:67 | 26 |
| 17 | Gran Tarajal | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 21:54 | 24 |
| 18 | CD La Cuadra | 34 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 26:72 | 22 |