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Gran vs Lillestrom 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2014
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AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 3 2014 game between Gran and Lillestrom 2 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gran
20%
Draws
44%
Lillestrom 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lillestrom 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lillestrom 2 come out ahead of Gran on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lillestrom 2 a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Lillestrom 2 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Gran Clean Sheet 10%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gran Lillestrom 2
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 12 19
Draws 3 0
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.53 3.34
Goals Conceded 2.09 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2016 Division 3 - Group 3
Gran vs Lillestrom 2
1:3
Jun 11, 2016 Division 3 - Group 3
Lillestrom 2 vs Gran
2:1
Sep 29, 2014 Division 3 - Group 3
Lillestrom 2 vs Gran
4:0
Jun 10, 2014 Division 3 - Group 3
Gran vs Lillestrom 2
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gran 10 / 100
Lillestrom 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gran Lillestrom 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom 2 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Gran found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Solid form: Gran remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lillestrom 2
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Gran

(Home)
26 Apr
Gran
0 : 8
Valerenga
22 Oct
Valdres
1 : 1
Gran
15 Oct
Gran
2 : 2
Skedsmo
08 Oct
Hauerseter
0 : 2
Gran
03 Oct
Gran
1 : 3
Lillestrom 2
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Lillestrom 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Fauske Sprint
14 Sept
Skedsmo
2 : 1
Lillestrom 2
06 Sept
Lillestrom 2
11 : 0
Bossekop
30 Aug
Finnsnes
0 : 1
Lillestrom 2
16 Aug
Lillestrom 2
3 : 4
Harstad
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