Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grand-Saconnex vs Basel

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup 2025/2026 St. Jakob-Park, Basel
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Traore B.
Assist: Metinho
9' Event
Matuvunu B.
46'
Sub
Broschinski M. In: Salah I.
Out: Broschinski M.

AI Match Summary

Basel in this Swiss Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Grand-Saconnex
17%
Draws
13%
Basel
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Grand-Saconnex

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Grand-Saconnex have won more games recently than Basel.
  • Model gives Grand-Saconnex a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Grand-Saconnex have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Basel, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Grand-Saconnex Clean Sheet 20%
Basel Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grand-Saconnex Basel
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2025 Swiss Cup
Grand-Saconnex vs Basel
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grand-Saconnex Compare

Top Goalscorer Matuvunu B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Basel Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Otele P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grand-Saconnex 67 / 100
Basel 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grand-Saconnex Basel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Grand-Saconnex scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Grand-Saconnex stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grand-Saconnex VS Basel
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grand-Saconnex

(Home)
10 Jul
Chenois
0 : 3
Grand-Saconnex
01 Jul
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1
Grand-Saconnex
30 May
Grand-Saconnex
3 : 2
Zurich II
23 May
Schaffhausen
3 : 0
Grand-Saconnex
16 May
Grand-Saconnex
3 : 2
Luzern II
Page 1 of 6

Basel

(Away)
25 Jul
Servette
0 : 1
Basel
18 Jul
Basel
0 : 0
Juventus
11 Jul
Basel
2 : 2
Winterthur
08 Jul
Basel
0 : 3
Yverdon
26 Jun
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 3
Basel
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Vernier0
Echallens1
Veyrier-Sports0
Lausanne Ouchy2
Harkingen2
Schaffhausen3
SV Schaffhausen0
Winterthur5
Zug1
Mendrisio0
Breitenrain1
Thun0
Breitenbach0
Bosna Neuchatel5
Perlen-Buchrain0
Luzern3
Romanshorn2
Altstatten4
Cham3
Lugano2
SC Nebikon0
Bellinzona4
Lachen/Altendorf0
Grasshoppers2
Wohlen1
Aarau3
Courtetelle1
Young Boys4
FC Lommiswil1
Prishtina Bern4
Ajoie-Monterri0
Sion2
La Tour Le Paquier0
Stade Nyonnais4
Wettswil-Bonstetten0
Zurich2
Unterstrass5
Klingnau4
Diaspora2
Xamax3
Stade Payerne1
Yverdon3
Dardania Lausanne0
Servette5
Azzurri Bienne0
Concordia8
Vevey1
Lausanne2
FC Morbio2
Gossau1
Volketswil0
Rapperswil-Jona8
Kriens2
Wil3
Walenstadt0
St. Gallen13
CS Le Locle2
FC Saxon-Sports1
La Sarraz-Eclepens1
Grand-Saconnex4
Bernex0
Etoile-Carouge3
Biel1
Basel6
1/16-finals
Echallens0
Lausanne Ouchy1
Schaffhausen0
Winterthur4
Zug1
Breitenrain0
Bosna Neuchatel0
Luzern6
Altstatten0
Cham3
Bellinzona0
Grasshoppers1
Aarau1
Young Boys0
Prishtina Bern0
Sion2
Stade Nyonnais2
Zurich1
Unterstrass0
Xamax5
Yverdon1
Servette0
Concordia1
Lausanne4
FC Morbio0
Rapperswil-Jona4
Wil1
St. Gallen2
CS Le Locle3
Grand-Saconnex4
Etoile-Carouge2
Basel3
1/8-finals
Lausanne Ouchy1
Winterthur0
Zug1
Luzern4
Cham1
Grasshoppers2
Aarau1
Sion3
Stade Nyonnais1
Xamax2
Yverdon2
Lausanne1
Rapperswil-Jona1
St. Gallen2
Grand-Saconnex1
Basel3
Quarter-finals
Lausanne Ouchy2
Luzern1
Grasshoppers4
Sion3
Xamax1
Yverdon2
St. Gallen2
Basel1
Semi-finals
Lausanne Ouchy2
Grasshoppers0
Yverdon0
St. Gallen2
Final
Lausanne Ouchy0
St. Gallen3