Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grand-Saconnex vs Basel Prediction & H2H Stats

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup 2025/2026 St. Jakob-Park, Basel
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Traore B.
Assist: Metinho
9' Event
Matuvunu B.
46'
Sub
Broschinski M. In: Salah I.
Out: Broschinski M.

AI Match Summary

Basel in this Swiss Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Grand-Saconnex
15%
Draws
17%
Basel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grand-Saconnex

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Grand-Saconnex have won more games recently than Basel.
  • Model gives Grand-Saconnex a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Grand-Saconnex have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Basel, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Grand-Saconnex Clean Sheet 20%
Basel Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grand-Saconnex Basel
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 17 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.42 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2025 Swiss Cup
Grand-Saconnex vs Basel
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grand-Saconnex Compare

Top Goalscorer Matuvunu B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Basel Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Otele P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grand-Saconnex 85 / 100
Basel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grand-Saconnex Basel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grand-Saconnex Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Grand-Saconnex scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Grand-Saconnex stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grand-Saconnex VS Basel
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Grand-Saconnex

(Home)
03 Oct
Grand-Saconnex
0 : 1
Young Fellows Juventus
26 Sept
Zurich II
1 : 2
Grand-Saconnex
19 Sept
Grand-Saconnex
3 : 0
Bellinzona
12 Sept
Grand-Saconnex
1 : 0
Breitenrain
05 Sept
FC Kreuzlingen
0 : 1
Grand-Saconnex
Page 1 of 7

Basel

(Away)
03 Oct
Winterthur
7 : 3
Basel
20 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
St. Gallen
13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4
Basel
06 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
Lugano
03 Sept
Basel
1 : 2
Sion
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Vernier 0
Echallens 1
Veyrier-Sports 0
Lausanne Ouchy 2
Harkingen 2
Schaffhausen 3
SV Schaffhausen 0
Winterthur 5
Zug 1
Mendrisio 0
Breitenrain 1
Thun 0
Breitenbach 0
Bosna Neuchatel 5
Perlen-Buchrain 0
Luzern 3
Romanshorn 2
Altstatten 4
Cham 3
Lugano 2
SC Nebikon 0
Bellinzona 4
Lachen/Altendorf 0
Grasshoppers 2
Wohlen 1
Aarau 3
Courtetelle 1
Young Boys 4
FC Lommiswil 1
Prishtina Bern 4
Ajoie-Monterri 0
Sion 2
La Tour Le Paquier 0
Stade Nyonnais 4
Wettswil-Bonstetten 0
Zurich 2
Unterstrass 5
Klingnau 4
Diaspora 2
Xamax 3
Stade Payerne 1
Yverdon 3
Dardania Lausanne 0
Servette 5
Azzurri Bienne 0
Concordia 8
Vevey 1
Lausanne 2
FC Morbio 2
Gossau 1
Volketswil 0
Rapperswil-Jona 8
Kriens 2
Wil 3
Walenstadt 0
St. Gallen 13
CS Le Locle 2
FC Saxon-Sports 1
La Sarraz-Eclepens 1
Grand-Saconnex 4
Bernex 0
Etoile-Carouge 3
Biel 1
Basel 6
1/16-finals
Echallens 0
Lausanne Ouchy 1
Schaffhausen 0
Winterthur 4
Zug 1
Breitenrain 0
Bosna Neuchatel 0
Luzern 6
Altstatten 0
Cham 3
Bellinzona 0
Grasshoppers 1
Aarau 1
Young Boys 0
Prishtina Bern 0
Sion 2
Stade Nyonnais 2
Zurich 1
Unterstrass 0
Xamax 5
Yverdon 1
Servette 0
Concordia 1
Lausanne 4
FC Morbio 0
Rapperswil-Jona 4
Wil 1
St. Gallen 2
CS Le Locle 3
Grand-Saconnex 4
Etoile-Carouge 2
Basel 3
1/8-finals
Lausanne Ouchy 1
Winterthur 0
Zug 1
Luzern 4
Cham 1
Grasshoppers 2
Aarau 1
Sion 3
Stade Nyonnais 1
Xamax 2
Yverdon 2
Lausanne 1
Rapperswil-Jona 1
St. Gallen 2
Grand-Saconnex 1
Basel 3
Quarter-finals
Lausanne Ouchy 2
Luzern 1
Grasshoppers 4
Sion 3
Xamax 1
Yverdon 2
St. Gallen 2
Basel 1
Semi-finals
Lausanne Ouchy 2
Grasshoppers 0
Yverdon 0
St. Gallen 2
Final
Lausanne Ouchy 0
St. Gallen 3