Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grange Harlequins vs Llanelli

Wales Wales

Premier 2005/2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grange Harlequins play Llanelli in the Premier 2005/2006. It looks like a close match. Recently, Grange Harlequins averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. Llanelli averaged 0.71 goals scored and 2.39 conceded. In past meetings, Grange Harlequins won 0, Llanelli won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 21, 2006 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for Grange Harlequins and 0.80 for Llanelli. This points to a Llanelli double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Grange Harlequins
15%
Draws
45%
Llanelli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llanelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Grange Harlequins picked up more points recently compared to Llanelli.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 0.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Grange Harlequins Clean Sheet 26%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grange Harlequins Llanelli
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 5
Draws 3 4
Losses 20 22
Goals Scored 1.1 0.71
Goals Conceded 2.8 2.39

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2006 Cymru Premier
Grange Harlequins vs Llanelli
0:5
Dec 21, 2005 Cymru Premier
Llanelli vs Grange Harlequins
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grange Harlequins 41 / 100
Llanelli 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grange Harlequins Llanelli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Llanelli or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Grange Harlequins attacking → ← attacking Llanelli

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grange Harlequins scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Llanelli let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Grange Harlequins went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Llanelli lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 19
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1TNS34275287:1786
2Llanelli34215864:2868
3Rhyl341810665:3064
4Carmarthen Town341761162:4257
5Port Talbot341511847:3056
6Welshpool341591059:4854
7Aberystwyth3414101059:4852
8Haverfordwest341214849:3650
9Bangor City341431751:5445
10Caersws FC3411121144:5645
11Porthmadog341281457:5944
12Connahs Q.341081636:4638
13Caernarfon349101547:5537
14Newtown341061842:6136
15Cefn Druids347111642:5832
16Airbus UK Broughton FC34881835:6032
17Cwmbran Town34881842:7332
18Grange Harlequins34442623:11016