Sport Picks

Croatia

Croatian Cup

Slaven Belupo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Granicar Kotoriba play Slaven Belupo in the Croatian Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Granicar Kotoriba averaged 0.67 goals scored and 3 conceded. Slaven Belupo averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Granicar Kotoriba won 0, Slaven Belupo won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 17, 2025 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Granicar Kotoriba and 1.24 for Slaven Belupo. This points to a Slaven Belupo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Granicar Kotoriba

24%

Draws

45%

Slaven Belupo

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Slaven Belupo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Granicar Kotoriba picked up more points recently compared to Slaven Belupo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.24 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Granicar Kotoriba Clean Sheet 19%

Slaven Belupo Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Granicar Kotoriba	Slaven Belupo
Matches Played	3	30
Wins	1	9
Draws	0	8
Losses	2	13
Goals Scored	0.67	1.6
Goals Conceded	3	1.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2025 Croatian Cup

Granicar Kotoriba vs Slaven Belupo

Possession: 53% - 46% Cards: 2 - 4

0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Granicar Kotoriba Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Slaven Belupo Compare

Top Goalscorer Jagusic A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Sivalec G.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Granicar Kotoriba 32 / 100

Slaven Belupo 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Granicar Kotoriba Slaven Belupo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Slaven Belupo or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Granicar Kotoriba attacking → ← attacking Slaven Belupo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Granicar Kotoriba scored in 33% of their last 3 games.

Slaven Belupo let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Granicar Kotoriba went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Slaven Belupo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 35

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38