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Stadium Background

Granville vs Stade Poitevin

France France

National 2 - Group A
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Granville play Stade Poitevin in the National 2 - Group A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Granville averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Stade Poitevin averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Granville won 1, Stade Poitevin won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Granville and 0.81 for Stade Poitevin. This points to a Granville double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Granville
32%
Draws
33%
Stade Poitevin
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Granville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Granville picked up more points recently compared to Stade Poitevin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Granville Clean Sheet 26%
Stade Poitevin Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Granville Stade Poitevin
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 5
Draws 10 11
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.17 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Granville vs Stade Poitevin
1:1
Dec 5, 2025 National 2 - Group A
Stade Poitevin vs Granville
1:0
Apr 18, 2025 National 2 - Group B
Granville vs Stade Poitevin
2:0
Dec 7, 2024 National 2 - Group B
Stade Poitevin vs Granville
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Granville Compare

Top Goalscorer Cherchour M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Stade Poitevin Compare

Top Goalscorer Gregoire C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Granville 37 / 100
Stade Poitevin 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Granville Stade Poitevin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Granville or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Granville attacking → ← attacking Stade Poitevin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Granville scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Stade Poitevin let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Granville went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Stade Poitevin lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 26
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325