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Grapiuna vs Jacobina

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2022 game between Grapiuna and Jacobina finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jacobina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Grapiuna
15%
Draws
26%
Jacobina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grapiuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grapiuna come out ahead of Jacobina on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Grapiuna taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jacobina have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Grapiuna Clean Sheet 10%
Jacobina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grapiuna Jacobina
Matches Played 43 39
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 1.05 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.95 1.51
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Baiano 2
Jacobina vs Grapiuna
2:1
May 28, 2023 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Jacobina
2:0
Jul 10, 2022 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Jacobina
0:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grapiuna 56 / 100
Jacobina 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grapiuna Jacobina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grapiuna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Jacobina conceded in 64% of 39 recent games.

Solid form: Grapiuna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Jacobina's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Grapiuna VS Jacobina
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grapiuna

(Home)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
20 Jun
Camacari
1 : 3
Grapiuna
14 Jun
Grapiuna
0 : 7
Feira FC
07 Jun
Redencao
2 : 2
Grapiuna
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
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Jacobina

(Away)
05 Jul
Jacobina
0 : 5
Feira FC
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
13 Jun
Jacobina
0 : 6
Fluminense de Feira
07 Jun
Barreiras
2 : 1
Jacobina
31 May
Jacobina
2 : 0
Camacari
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jequie 11 7 1 3 14:10 22
2 Jacobinense 11 6 2 3 17:9 20
3 Juazeiro 11 5 5 1 18:8 20
4 Itabuna 11 5 4 2 15:10 19
5 Jacobina 11 5 2 4 17:10 17
6 Botafogo BA 11 4 4 3 11:12 16
7 Galicia 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
8 CE Flamengo 11 4 2 5 10:8 14
9 Fluminense de Feira 11 3 4 4 8:12 13
10 Canaa EC 11 2 5 4 13:16 11
11 Feirense 11 2 1 8 7:18 7
12 Grapiuna 11 1 3 7 6:22 6
Promotion - Baiano 2 2022 (Play Offs)