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Grapiuna vs Jequie

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2015
Grapiuna Logo

Grapiuna

3 - 0
FT
Jequie Logo

Jequie

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Grapiuna in this Baiano 2 2015 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grapiuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Grapiuna
30%
Draws
37%
Jequie
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jequie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jequie lately — more wins on the board than Grapiuna.
  • Model gives Jequie a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Grapiuna Clean Sheet 10%
Jequie Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grapiuna Jequie
Matches Played 43 47
Wins 12 20
Draws 9 11
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 1.05 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.95 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2023 Baiano 2
Jequie vs Grapiuna
2:0
Jul 15, 2023 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Jequie
0:0
May 14, 2023 Baiano 2
Jequie vs Grapiuna
0:1
Jun 19, 2022 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Jequie
1:2
May 31, 2015 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Jequie
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grapiuna 10 / 100
Jequie 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grapiuna Jequie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEQ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jequie's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 47 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Grapiuna stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Grapiuna found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (43 games).

Scoring Trends

Grapiuna VS Jequie
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grapiuna

(Home)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
20 Jun
Camacari
1 : 3
Grapiuna
14 Jun
Grapiuna
0 : 7
Feira FC
07 Jun
Redencao
2 : 2
Grapiuna
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
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Jequie

(Away)
22 Feb
Jequie
1 : 1
Barcelona FC
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Jequie
2 : 2
Vitoria
04 Feb
Jacuipense
0 : 2
Jequie
29 Jan
Bahia de Feira
1 : 2
Jequie
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 8 5 1 2 15:10 16
2 CE Flamengo 8 4 3 1 13:6 15
3 Juazeiro 8 4 2 2 13:13 14
4 Itabuna 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
5 EC Ypiranga 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
6 Grapiuna 8 3 1 4 11:9 10
7 Botafogo BA 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
8 Alagoinhas 8 1 3 4 5:10 6
9 Jequie 8 1 2 5 10:21 5
Promotion - Baiano 2 2015 (Play Offs)