Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grasshoppers vs Aarau

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Letzigrund Stadion, Zürich
Thu, May 21, 2026
2 - 1
06:15 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Zvonarek L.
Assist: Lee Young-Jun
44' Event
Filet E.
Assist: Fazliu V.
46'
Sub
Rissi N. In: Ullmann M.
Out: Rissi N.

AI Match Summary

Grasshoppers in this Super League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Grasshoppers
40%
Draws
29%
Aarau
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Aarau have won more games recently than Grasshoppers.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Aarau arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Grasshoppers, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Grasshoppers Clean Sheet 19%
Aarau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grasshoppers Aarau
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Super League
Grasshoppers vs Aarau
2:1
May 18, 2026 Super League
Aarau vs Grasshoppers
0:0
May 30, 2025 Super League
Aarau vs Grasshoppers
1:0
May 27, 2025 Super League
Grasshoppers vs Aarau
4:0
Sep 5, 2024 Club Friendly
Grasshoppers vs Aarau
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grasshoppers Compare

Top Goalscorer Zvonarek L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Aarau Compare

Top Goalscorer Filet E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grasshoppers 32 / 100
Aarau 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grasshoppers Aarau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grasshoppers's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aarau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Aarau registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grasshoppers VS Aarau
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grasshoppers

(Home)
25 Jul
Lausanne
1 : 1
Grasshoppers
18 Jul
Altach
3 : 1
Grasshoppers
11 Jul
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Grasshoppers
04 Jul
Wil
3 : 2
Grasshoppers
01 Jul
Cham
2 : 3
Grasshoppers
Page 1 of 6

Aarau

(Away)
24 Jul
Etoile-Carouge
3 : 0
Aarau
18 Jul
Aarau
2 : 1
Union Berlin
10 Jul
A. Lustenau
1 : 0
Aarau
30 Jun
Aarau
1 : 3
St. Gallen II
21 May
Grasshoppers
2 : 1
Aarau
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Grasshoppers2
Aarau1