Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grasshoppers vs Aarau

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Letzigrund Stadion, Zürich
Thu, May 21, 2026
2 - 1
06:15 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Zvonarek L.
Assist: Lee Young-Jun
44' Event
Filet E.
Assist: Fazliu V.
46'
Sub
Rissi N. In: Ullmann M.
Out: Rissi N.

AI Match Summary

Grasshoppers in this Super League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Grasshoppers
30%
Draws
37%
Aarau
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aarau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Aarau have won more games recently than Grasshoppers.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Aarau arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Grasshoppers, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Grasshoppers Clean Sheet 11%
Aarau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grasshoppers Aarau
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 3 8
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.48 2
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Super League
Grasshoppers vs Aarau
2:1
May 18, 2026 Super League
Aarau vs Grasshoppers
0:0
May 30, 2025 Super League
Aarau vs Grasshoppers
1:0
May 27, 2025 Super League
Grasshoppers vs Aarau
4:0
Sep 5, 2024 Club Friendly
Grasshoppers vs Aarau
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grasshoppers Compare

Top Goalscorer Zvonarek L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Aarau Compare

Top Goalscorer Filet E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grasshoppers 30 / 100
Aarau 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grasshoppers Aarau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aarau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grasshoppers's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aarau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Grasshoppers has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grasshoppers VS Aarau
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grasshoppers

(Home)
15 Sept
Grasshoppers
2 : 5
Sion
12 Sept
Thun
0 : 1
Grasshoppers
05 Sept
Grasshoppers
2 : 2
Zurich
02 Sept
Grasshoppers
2 : 0
St. Gallen
30 Aug
Vaduz
5 : 2
Grasshoppers
Page 1 of 6

Aarau

(Away)
12 Sept
Aarau
2 : 2
Kriens
04 Sept
Aarau
3 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
31 Aug
Wil
2 : 2
Aarau
28 Aug
Aarau
2 : 1
Xamax
23 Aug
Yverdon
2 : 1
Aarau
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Grasshoppers 2
Aarau 1