Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grassina vs Flaminia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Polidori A.

AI Match Summary

Flaminia in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flaminia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Grassina
30%
Draws
62%
Flaminia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flaminia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Flaminia have won more games recently than Grassina.
  • Win probability leans Flaminia's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Grassina Clean Sheet 19%
Flaminia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grassina Flaminia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 10 11
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.83 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs Flaminia
0:1
Apr 1, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs Flaminia
1:1
Dec 13, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Flaminia vs Grassina
0:0
Feb 16, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs Flaminia
2:0
Oct 13, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Flaminia vs Grassina
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grassina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Flaminia Compare

Top Goalscorer Polidori A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grassina 28 / 100
Flaminia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grassina Flaminia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flaminia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Flaminia conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Grassina's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Grassina went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grassina VS Flaminia
0.2 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
40% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Grassina

(Home)
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1
Grassina
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1
Flaminia
06 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 0
Grassina
13 Aug
Montevarchi
1 : 0
Grassina
16 Jun
San Donato Tavarnelle
4 : 0
Grassina
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Flaminia

(Away)
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2
Sasso Marconi
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1
Flaminia
06 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 0
Ghiviborgo
26 Jul
Lazio
6 : 0
Flaminia
10 May
Monastir
3 : 3
Flaminia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Donato Tavarnelle 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Prato 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
3 Flaminia 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
4 Follonica Gavorrano 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
5 Lucchese 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
6 Tau 3 2 0 1 6:7 6
7 Seravezza Pozzi 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
8 Siena 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
9 Montevarchi 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
10 Scandicci 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
11 Terranuova Traiana 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
12 Sasso Marconi 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
13 Mezzolara 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
14 SCD Progresso 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
15 Ternana 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
16 Grassina 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
17 Rondinella 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
18 Ghiviborgo 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)