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Grassina vs Scandicci Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Simoni L.
18' Event
Dini F.
56' Event
Arrighini A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between Grassina and Scandicci finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Scandicci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Grassina
35%
Draws
52%
Scandicci
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Scandicci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Scandicci come out ahead of Grassina on wins alone.
  • Scandicci are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Grassina Clean Sheet 21%
Scandicci Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grassina Scandicci
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 4 12
Draws 10 14
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.83 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs Scandicci
2:3
May 16, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs Scandicci
1:1
Jan 17, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Grassina
0:0
Feb 2, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs Scandicci
1:0
Sep 29, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Grassina
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grassina Compare

Top Goalscorer Simoni L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dini F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45

Scandicci Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouko D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arrighini A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grassina 16 / 100
Scandicci 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grassina Scandicci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scandicci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scandicci has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Grassina scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Grassina has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grassina VS Scandicci
0.43 Goals Scored 1.13
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.38
43% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grassina

(Home)
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Grassina
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3
Scandicci
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1
Grassina
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1
Flaminia
06 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 0
Grassina
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Scandicci

(Away)
27 Sept
Scandicci
0 : 0
Ternana
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3
Scandicci
16 Sept
Scandicci
3 : 0
Rondinella
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1
Scandicci
06 Sept
Scandicci
1 : 1
Siena
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Follonica Gavorrano 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
2 Prato 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
3 Seravezza Pozzi 5 3 1 1 13:3 10
4 Lucchese 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
5 Flaminia 5 3 1 1 8:8 10
6 Tau 5 3 0 2 9:12 9
7 Scandicci 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
8 Siena 5 2 1 2 11:7 7
9 Terranuova Traiana 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
10 Montevarchi 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
12 Mezzolara 5 1 3 1 3:5 6
13 Ternana 5 1 2 2 5:4 5
14 Sasso Marconi 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
15 SCD Progresso 5 1 0 4 3:13 3
16 Grassina 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
17 Rondinella 5 0 2 3 3:9 2
18 Ghiviborgo 5 0 1 4 3:9 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)