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Grassina vs Siena Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
De Angelis R.

AI Match Summary

Siena in this Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Grassina
30%
Draws
54%
Siena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Siena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Siena lately — more wins on the board than Grassina.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Grassina Clean Sheet 16%
Siena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grassina Siena
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 4 21
Draws 10 7
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.83 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs Siena
0:1
Dec 6, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Grassina
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grassina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Siena Compare

Top Goalscorer De Angelis R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grassina 36 / 100
Siena 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grassina Siena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siena has conceded goals in 63% of their last 35 outings.

Grassina found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Grassina has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grassina VS Siena
0.38 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grassina

(Home)
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Grassina
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3
Scandicci
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1
Grassina
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1
Flaminia
06 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 0
Grassina
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Siena

(Away)
27 Sept
Lucchese
3 : 2
Siena
20 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Montevarchi
16 Sept
Tau
3 : 2
Siena
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Mezzolara
06 Sept
Scandicci
1 : 1
Siena
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevarchi 34 21 8 5 68:32 71
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 56:38 60
3 Sporting Trestina 34 15 11 8 48:33 56
4 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 14 12 8 48:40 54
5 Siena 34 15 8 11 48:40 53
6 Follonica Gavorrano 34 14 9 11 48:37 51
7 Pianese 34 13 12 9 41:34 51
8 Lornano Badesse 34 13 9 12 51:44 48
9 Tiferno Lerchi 34 13 8 13 44:48 47
10 Cannara 34 12 11 11 41:48 47
11 Sangiovannese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
12 Montespaccato 34 11 8 15 40:47 41
13 Ostiamare 34 8 15 11 50:54 39
14 Flaminia 34 9 12 13 44:57 39
15 Foligno 34 9 9 16 35:48 36
16 Scandicci 34 10 7 17 42:49 35
17 Grassina 34 6 12 16 32:52 30
18 UC Sinalunghese 34 4 11 19 24:58 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 (Play Offs)