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Gravina vs Fidelis Andria Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Basanisi A.

AI Match Summary

Gravina in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gravina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Gravina
30%
Draws
8%
Fidelis Andria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gravina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Gravina have won more games recently than Fidelis Andria.
  • Win probability leans Gravina's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Gravina Clean Sheet 68%
Fidelis Andria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gravina Fidelis Andria
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.48 0.93
Goals Conceded 1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Gravina
1:3
Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Fidelis Andria
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Gravina
4:1
Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Gravina
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Fidelis Andria
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gravina Compare

Top Goalscorer Basanisi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Fidelis Andria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gravina 77 / 100
Fidelis Andria 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gravina Fidelis Andria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gravina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Gravina's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Fidelis Andria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Gravina stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gravina VS Fidelis Andria
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gravina

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 0
Gravina
20 Sept
Gravina
2 : 2
Real Forio 2014
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0
Gravina
12 Sept
Gravina
3 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3
Gravina
Page 1 of 6

Fidelis Andria

(Away)
27 Sept
Turris
2 : 0
Fidelis Andria
20 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
3 : 2
Fidelis Andria
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1
Manfredonia
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0
Fidelis Andria
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3
Gravina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)