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Gravina vs Francavilla Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Basanisi A.
61' Event
Visconti G.
90' Event
Scaringella M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 game between Gravina and Francavilla finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gravina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Gravina
20%
Draws
22%
Francavilla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gravina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Gravina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Gravina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Gravina Clean Sheet 68%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gravina Francavilla
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Francavilla
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Gravina
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Gravina
2:1
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Francavilla
0:0
Apr 16, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Francavilla
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gravina Compare

Top Goalscorer Basanisi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scaringella M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Francavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Visconti G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gravina 68 / 100
Francavilla 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gravina Francavilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gravina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gravina scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Francavilla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Gravina remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gravina VS Francavilla
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gravina

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 0
Gravina
20 Sept
Gravina
2 : 2
Real Forio 2014
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0
Gravina
12 Sept
Gravina
3 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3
Gravina
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Francavilla

(Away)
27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Brindisi
20 Sept
Melfi
2 : 1
Francavilla
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Palmese 1914
13 Sept
Bisceglie
2 : 1
Francavilla
06 Sept
Francavilla
1 : 0
Ischia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)