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Grazer AK vs Salzburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Merkur-Arena, Graz
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grazer AK host Salzburg in the Bundesliga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Grazer AK at 1.64 goals for, 1.46 against; Salzburg at 2.27 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Grazer AK have won 1 to Salzburg's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 2.25, favoring Salzburg. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Grazer AK
30%
Draws
33%
Salzburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grazer AK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Salzburg have won more games recently than Grazer AK.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Grazer AK taking it.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Grazer AK Clean Sheet 10%
Salzburg Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grazer AK Salzburg
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.64 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.46 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Bundesliga
Grazer AK vs Salzburg
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 Bundesliga
Salzburg vs Grazer AK
5:0
Nov 2, 2024 Bundesliga
Salzburg vs Grazer AK
0:0
Aug 2, 2024 Bundesliga
Grazer AK vs Salzburg
2:3
Feb 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Salzburg vs Grazer AK
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grazer AK 56 / 100
Salzburg 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grazer AK Salzburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grazer AK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Grazer AK stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Grazer AK's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Salzburg let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Grazer AK VS Salzburg
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grazer AK

(Home)
30 Sept
SC Kalsdorf
1 : 5
Grazer AK
19 Sept
Grazer AK
2 : 2
Austria Vienna
12 Sept
Altach
1 : 2
Grazer AK
06 Sept
Kitzbuhel
0 : 2
Grazer AK
29 Aug
Grazer AK
0 : 0
Wolfsberger AC
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Salzburg

(Away)
02 Oct
Salzburg
1 : 2
BW Linz
20 Sept
Salzburg
3 : 0
Sturm Graz
17 Sept
Levski Sofia
0 : 1
Salzburg
11 Sept
Ried
1 : 1
Salzburg
06 Sept
St. Polten
0 : 3
Salzburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rapid Vienna 7 6 0 1 21:7 18
2 Salzburg 7 5 2 0 18:4 17
3 LASK Linz 7 5 1 1 19:7 16
4 Sturm Graz 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
5 Ried 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
6 Hartberg 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
7 Tirol 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
8 A. Lustenau 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
9 Grazer AK 7 2 2 3 6:16 8
10 Austria Vienna 7 2 1 4 7:13 7
11 Wolfsberger AC 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
12 Altach 7 1 0 6 5:12 3
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation Group)