Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grazer AK vs Tirol

Austria Austria

Bundesliga 2025/2026 Merkur-Arena, Graz
Grazer AK Logo

Grazer AK

4 - 0
FT
Tirol Logo

Tirol

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Italiano J.
Assist: Schriebl T.
42' Event
Grosse M.
45'
Lichtenberger C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Grazer AK and Tirol finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grazer AK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Grazer AK
30%
Draws
39%
Tirol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tirol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grazer AK come out ahead of Tirol on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tirol a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Grazer AK Clean Sheet 10%
Tirol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grazer AK Tirol
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Bundesliga
Grazer AK vs Tirol
4:0
Mar 21, 2026 Bundesliga
Tirol vs Grazer AK
1:5
Mar 8, 2026 Bundesliga
Tirol vs Grazer AK
2:0
Aug 16, 2025 Bundesliga
Grazer AK vs Tirol
1:1
May 23, 2025 Bundesliga
Tirol vs Grazer AK
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grazer AK Compare

Top Goalscorer Grosse M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Italiano J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tirol Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grazer AK 10 / 100
Tirol 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grazer AK Tirol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Grazer AK's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tirol has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Grazer AK has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grazer AK VS Tirol
1 Goals Scored 2.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Grazer AK

(Home)
19 Sept
Grazer AK
2 : 2
Austria Vienna
12 Sept
Altach
1 : 2
Grazer AK
06 Sept
Kitzbuhel
0 : 2
Grazer AK
29 Aug
Grazer AK
0 : 0
Wolfsberger AC
21 Aug
Ried
1 : 0
Grazer AK
Page 1 of 6

Tirol

(Away)
18 Sept
Rapid Vienna
3 : 0
Tirol
13 Sept
Tirol
2 : 2
Hartberg
05 Sept
SV Leithaprodersdorf
0 : 4
Tirol
02 Sept
Austria Vienna
0 : 1
Tirol
28 Aug
A. Lustenau
0 : 4
Tirol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Ried 32 12 6 14 38:42 28
8 Wolfsberger AC 32 11 8 13 41:42 28
9 Grazer AK 32 9 10 13 42:45 27
10 Altach 32 10 12 10 36:39 27
11 Tirol 32 10 10 12 40:52 24
12 BW Linz 32 8 5 19 37:49 21
Relegation - 2. Liga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)