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Greater Tomorrow vs Falcons

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Mendy M.
23' Event
Sonko M.
90' Event
Sanneh L.

AI Match Summary

Falcons in this GFA League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Falcons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Greater Tomorrow
20%
Draws
40%
Falcons
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Falcons haven't matched Greater Tomorrow's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Greater Tomorrow a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular GFA League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Falcons have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Greater Tomorrow Clean Sheet 68%
Falcons Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greater Tomorrow Falcons
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 10 14
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.83 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 GFA League
Greater Tomorrow vs Falcons
0:3
Feb 28, 2026 GFA League
Falcons vs Greater Tomorrow
1:0
May 29, 2025 GFA League
Greater Tomorrow vs Falcons
0:1
Dec 21, 2024 GFA League
Falcons vs Greater Tomorrow
2:0
Apr 6, 2024 GFA League
Greater Tomorrow vs Falcons
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greater Tomorrow Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Falcons Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendy M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sonko M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greater Tomorrow 46 / 100
Falcons 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greater Tomorrow Falcons

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Falcons lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Greater Tomorrow's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Falcons let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Greater Tomorrow VS Falcons
1.13 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Greater Tomorrow

(Home)
22 Jun
Real Banjul
2 : 3
Greater Tomorrow
16 Jun
Greater Tomorrow
0 : 1
BST Galaxy
11 Jun
Brikama United
3 : 0
Greater Tomorrow
05 Jun
Greater Tomorrow
1 : 1
Samger
25 May
Greater Tomorrow
0 : 1
Medina United
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Falcons

(Away)
22 Jun
Falcons
2 : 1
Hart Academy
16 Jun
Steve Biko
1 : 1
Falcons
11 Jun
Falcons
1 : 2
Fortune
04 Jun
Real Banjul
2 : 0
Falcons
25 May
Team Rhino
1 : 0
Falcons
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)