Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grebbestad vs Ahlafors

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Zetterlund J.
74' Event
Nilsson J.
78'
Hogblom S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Grebbestad and Ahlafors finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ahlafors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Grebbestad
35%
Draws
45%
Ahlafors
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ahlafors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Ahlafors's 2.17 goals per match outpaces what Grebbestad have produced (1.97).
  • Model gives Ahlafors a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ahlafors have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Grebbestad Clean Sheet 13%
Ahlafors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grebbestad Ahlafors
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.97 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Grebbestad
3:1
May 9, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Ahlafors
0:2
Aug 8, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Ahlafors
1:0
May 28, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Grebbestad
2:1
Jun 28, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Grebbestad
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grebbestad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ahlafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Zetterlund J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nilsson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grebbestad 10 / 100
Ahlafors 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grebbestad Ahlafors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahlafors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grebbestad found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Ahlafors let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Grebbestad has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grebbestad VS Ahlafors
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grebbestad

(Home)
30 Aug
Husqvarna
3 : 2
Grebbestad
22 Aug
Grebbestad
1 : 1
Stenungsunds IF
14 Aug
Ahlafors
3 : 1
Grebbestad
08 Aug
Grebbestad
1 : 1
IFK Skovde
31 Jul
Karlstad II
1 : 2
Grebbestad
Page 1 of 6

Ahlafors

(Away)
29 Aug
Ahlafors
7 : 1
Kumla
21 Aug
Lidkoping
2 : 2
Ahlafors
14 Aug
Ahlafors
3 : 1
Grebbestad
08 Aug
Ahlafors
2 : 0
Karlstad II
31 Jul
IFK Skovde
0 : 0
Ahlafors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 19 16 3 0 47:14 51
2 Skara 19 12 5 2 37:21 41
3 IFK Skovde 19 11 4 4 37:24 37
4 Ahlafors 19 9 7 3 45:23 34
5 Grebbestad 19 9 3 7 34:29 30
6 Herrestads AIF 19 8 6 5 36:32 30
7 Stenungsunds IF 19 7 5 7 33:26 26
8 Vanersborgs FK 19 6 4 9 26:34 22
9 Motala 19 5 6 8 26:27 21
10 Kumla 19 5 5 9 20:37 20
11 Tord 19 2 9 8 22:32 15
12 Lidkoping 19 3 6 10 20:38 15
13 Karlstad II 19 2 6 11 20:35 12
14 Vanersborgs IF 19 2 3 14 20:51 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)