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Grecia vs AD Rosario - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grecia host AD Rosario in the Liga de Ascenso. Little to choose between these two on current form. Grecia have averaged 1.15 scored and 1.26 conceded recently, against AD Rosario's 1 scored and 1.42 conceded. Past meetings favor Grecia slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.44 - 1.38) back Grecia to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Grecia
30%
Draws
39%
AD Rosario
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Rosario

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grecia come out ahead of AD Rosario on wins alone.
  • Model gives Grecia a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Grecia Clean Sheet 17%
AD Rosario Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grecia AD Rosario
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.15 1
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Rosario vs Grecia
3:2
Mar 5, 2017 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs AD Rosario
1:1
Feb 4, 2017 Liga de Ascenso
AD Rosario vs Grecia
2:1
Jan 15, 2017 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs AD Rosario
2:1
Oct 9, 2016 Liga de Ascenso
AD Rosario vs Grecia
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grecia 36 / 100
AD Rosario 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grecia AD Rosario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Rosario has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Grecia scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Grecia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grecia VS AD Rosario
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Grecia

(Home)
04 Oct
Grecia
1 : 0
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Quepos FC
1 : 0
Grecia
13 Sept
Grecia
1 : 1
ADR Jicaral
08 Sept
Cofutpa
0 : 0
Grecia
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
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AD Rosario

(Away)
03 Oct
AD Rosario
1 : 0
Quepos FC
20 Sept
ADR Jicaral
1 : 1
AD Rosario
12 Sept
AD Rosario
2 : 1
Cofutpa
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
AD Rosario
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 10 7 0 3 14:10 21
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Carmelita 11 4 3 4 19:13 15
4 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
5 Cariari Pococi 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
6 Guadalupe 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
7 FC Moravia 10 3 1 6 12:13 10
8 CS Uruguay 10 2 3 5 9:18 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)