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Grecia vs Santa Cruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
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Match Events

15' Event
Balmaceda L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Grecia and Santa Cruz finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grecia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Grecia
20%
Draws
22%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grecia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Grecia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Grecia's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Grecia Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grecia Santa Cruz
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.19 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs Santa Cruz
1:0
Aug 16, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Grecia
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Grecia
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs Santa Cruz
1:0
Oct 9, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Grecia vs Santa Cruz
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grecia Compare

Top Goalscorer Balmaceda L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Santa Cruz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grecia 49 / 100
Santa Cruz 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grecia Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grecia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grecia scored in 81% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: Santa Cruz conceded in 85% of 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Grecia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grecia VS Santa Cruz
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Grecia

(Home)
04 Oct
Grecia
1 : 0
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Quepos FC
1 : 0
Grecia
13 Sept
Grecia
1 : 1
ADR Jicaral
08 Sept
Cofutpa
0 : 0
Grecia
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
Page 1 of 6

Santa Cruz

(Away)
04 Oct
Grecia
1 : 0
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Cofutpa
3 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
0 : 2
Quepos FC
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
30 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
AD Rosario
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 11 8 0 3 19:10 24
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Carmelita 11 4 3 4 19:13 15
4 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
5 Cariari Pococi 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
6 Guadalupe 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
7 FC Moravia 10 3 1 6 12:13 10
8 CS Uruguay 11 2 3 6 9:23 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)