Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Greece U21 vs Portugal U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Conceicao F.
Assist: Gomes R.
31' Event
Tzolis C.
Assist: Darelas A.
39'
Araujo H.

AI Match Summary

Greece U21 in this Euro U21 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Greece U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Greece U21
6%
Draws
90%
Portugal U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Portugal U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Portugal U21 have won more games recently than Greece U21.
  • Win probability leans Portugal U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Portugal U21 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Greece U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Portugal U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greece U21 Portugal U21
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 22
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2.75 3.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2023 Euro U21
Greece U21 vs Portugal U21
2:1
Oct 17, 2023 Euro U21
Portugal U21 vs Greece U21
2:0
Jun 11, 2022 Euro U21
Portugal U21 vs Greece U21
2:1
Mar 29, 2022 Euro U21
Greece U21 vs Portugal U21
0:4
Sep 6, 2016 Euro U21
Portugal U21 vs Greece U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greece U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tzolis C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Panagidis M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Portugal U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Conceicao F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.41
Avg xA / game 2.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greece U21 10 / 100
Portugal U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greece U21 Portugal U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greece U21's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Greece U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Portugal U21 has conceded goals in 47% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Greece U21 VS Portugal U21
2.75 Goals Scored 3.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Greece U21

(Home)
30 May
Croatia U21
1 : 1
Greece U21
27 May
Greece U21
1 : 2
Qatar U23
31 Mar
Greece U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
27 Mar
Greece U21
5 : 0
Malta U21
18 Nov
Greece U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
Page 1 of 6

Portugal U21

(Away)
03 Jun
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Azerbaijan U21
0 : 4
Portugal U21
18 Nov
Czech Republic U21
0 : 0
Portugal U21
14 Oct
Gibraltar U21
0 : 11
Portugal U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Italy U211064027:422
2Norway U211061328:1119
3Ireland U211054124:1219
4Turkey U211041521:1513
5Latvia U211032510:1811
6San Marino U211000101:510
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U211091028:528
2Belgium U211061313:619
3Scotland U211051419:1116
4Hungary U211051412:816
5Kazakhstan U211030713:249
6Malta U211000104:350
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands U2110100032:330
2Georgia U211061314:1019
3Sweden U211052325:1017
4North Macedonia U21104068:1512
5Moldova U21102177:207
6Gibraltar U21101093:313
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U211082035:1026
2Poland U211071224:1022
3Bulgaria U211043317:1215
4Kosovo U211033410:1712
5Estonia U21102177:317
6Israel U21101095:183
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Romania U211071223:1022
2Finland U211062221:820
3Switzerland U211053221:1218
4Albania U211051412:1716
5Montenegro U21102178:197
6Armenia U21100282:212
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England U211081141:625
2Ukraine U211080220:724
3Serbia U211051413:1816
4Northern Ireland U211032510:1011
5Luxembourg U21102266:238
6Azerbaijan U21101094:303
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal U211090133:627
2Croatia U211071220:1422
3Greece U211052316:1017
4Faroe Islands U211031611:2410
5Belarus U21101366:206
6Andorra U21100374:163
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Slovenia U21852113:717
2France U21851222:616
3Austria U21843112:615
4Cyprus U2181257:235
5Bosnia & Herzegovina U2181075:173
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Denmark U21852118:817
2Czech Republic U21842213:1114
3Wales U21842213:1114
4Iceland U2183059:149
5Lithuania U2181077:163
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)