Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Greece vs Belarus

World World

World Championship 2026 Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Karetsas K.
Assist: Pavlidis V.
15'
Mavropanos K.
17' Event
Pavlidis V.
Assist: Karetsas K.

AI Match Summary

Greece in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Greece.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Greece
35%
Draws
51%
Belarus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Belarus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Belarus haven't matched Greece's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Belarus's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Greece Clean Sheet 20%
Belarus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greece Belarus
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 10
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.77 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 World Championship
Belarus vs Greece
0:0
Sep 5, 2025 World Championship
Greece vs Belarus
5:1
Nov 9, 2016 Friendly International
Greece vs Belarus
0:1
Feb 28, 2006 Friendly International
Greece vs Belarus
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greece Compare

Top Goalscorer Karetsas K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pavlidis V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Belarus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greece 24 / 100
Belarus 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greece Belarus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belarus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greece scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Belarus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Greece remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Greece VS Belarus
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Greece

(Home)
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1
Italy
04 Jun
Sweden
2 : 2
Greece
31 Mar
Hungary
0 : 0
Greece
27 Mar
Greece
0 : 1
Paraguay
18 Nov
Belarus
0 : 0
Greece
Page 1 of 6

Belarus

(Away)
09 Jun
Belarus
2 : 2
Burkina Faso
05 Jun
Belarus
4 : 1
Syria
29 Mar
Armenia
1 : 2
Belarus
26 Mar
Cyprus
0 : 1
Belarus
18 Nov
Belarus
0 : 0
Greece
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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