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Greece vs Germany - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
Greece Logo

Greece

0 - 0
FT
Germany Logo

Germany

Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Tsimikas K.
33'
Burkardt J.
36'
Anton W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Greece
35%
Draws
25%
Germany
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Greece

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Germany have won more games recently than Greece.
  • Greece are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Greece Clean Sheet 11%
Germany Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greece Germany
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 15 21
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.7 2.29
Goals Conceded 1 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Greece vs Germany
0:0
Sep 27, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Germany vs Greece
0:1
Jun 7, 2024 Friendly International
Germany vs Greece
2:1
Jun 22, 2012 Euro
Germany vs Greece
4:2
Mar 28, 2001 World Championship
Greece vs Germany
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greece 38 / 100
Germany 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greece Germany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Greece Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Greece scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Germany's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 34 matches.

Greece went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Greece VS Germany
0.88 Goals Scored 2.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Greece

(Home)
04 Oct
Greece
0 : 0
Germany
01 Oct
Greece
2 : 2
Netherlands
27 Sept
Germany
0 : 1
Greece
24 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2
Greece
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1
Italy
Page 1 of 6

Germany

(Away)
04 Oct
Greece
0 : 0
Germany
01 Oct
Germany
2 : 0
Serbia
27 Sept
Germany
0 : 1
Greece
24 Sept
Netherlands
1 : 1
Germany
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2
Paraguay
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)