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World Championship 2026 Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium

Scotland

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This World Championship 2026 encounter between Greece and Scotland promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Greece averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in recent matches. Scotland shows a form average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Greece, 3 wins for Scotland, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 15.11.25 ended in a 3:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.00 for Greece and 1.69 for Scotland, suggesting the primary value lies in the Greece double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Greece

15%

Draws

38%

Scotland

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Greece

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Greece picked up more points recently compared to Scotland.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%

Greece Clean Sheet 13%

Scotland Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Greece	Scotland
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	12
Draws	4	4
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	1.77	1.37
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.4
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

15.11.25 World Championship

Greece vs Scotland

Possession: 42% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

3:2

09.10.25 World Championship

Scotland vs Greece

Possession: 45% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

3:1

23.03.25 UEFA Nations League

Scotland vs Greece

Possession: 44% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

0:3

20.03.25 UEFA Nations League

Greece vs Scotland

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

15.08.95 Euro

Scotland vs Greece

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Greece

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Sit deep

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Scotland

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greece Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakasetas A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Karetsas K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Scotland Compare

Top Goalscorer Gannon-Doak B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Christie R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greece 45 / 100

Scotland 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Greece Scotland

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Greece or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Greece 52%

Scotland 30%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Greece 45%

Scotland 40%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Greece 47%

Scotland 38%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Greece 49%

Scotland 36%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Greece 42%

Scotland 42%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Greece 54%

Scotland 44%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Greece attacking → ← attacking Scotland

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greece have found the net in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Scotland have conceded at least one goal in 70% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.80 goals per match.

Greece remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Scotland suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 40

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0