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Green Buffaloes FC vs Nkwazi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Green Buffaloes FC host Nkwazi in the Super League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Nkwazi have shipped 0.8 goals a game lately, while Green Buffaloes FC have conceded 0.94 and scored 0.71. Head-to-head, Green Buffaloes FC have won 1 to Nkwazi's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 0.63, favoring Nkwazi. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Green Buffaloes FC
20%
Draws
40%
Nkwazi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Nkwazi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Green Buffaloes FC's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Green Buffaloes FC Clean Sheet 20%
Nkwazi Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Green Buffaloes FC Nkwazi
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 14 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.71 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Super League
Green Buffaloes FC vs Nkwazi
0:0
Aug 17, 2025 Super League
Nkwazi vs Green Buffaloes FC
1:2
Apr 2, 2025 Super League
Nkwazi vs Green Buffaloes FC
2:0
Nov 27, 2024 Super League
Green Buffaloes FC vs Nkwazi
1:2
Feb 17, 2024 Super League
Nkwazi vs Green Buffaloes FC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Green Buffaloes FC 42 / 100
Nkwazi 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Green Buffaloes FC Nkwazi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nkwazi let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Green Buffaloes FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Green Buffaloes FC scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Green Buffaloes FC VS Nkwazi
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Green Buffaloes FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Roan United
0 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
04 Oct
Green Buffaloes FC
2 : 0
Chirundu United
22 May
Red Arrows
2 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
17 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
13 May
Green Buffaloes FC
1 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
Page 1 of 7

Nkwazi

(Away)
10 Oct
Nkwazi
0 : 0
Chirundu United
03 Oct
Nkwazi
1 : 2
Roan United
24 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Nkwazi
20 May
Muza Fc
0 : 1
Nkwazi
17 May
Nkwazi
1 : 0
Kansanshi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nkana 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Muza Fc 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Konkola Blades 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Zanaco 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 NAPSA Stars 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
6 Trident 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
7 Kansanshi 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
8 Makeni All Stars 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
9 Power Dynamos 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
10 Nchanga Rangers 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Green Eagles 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Red Arrows 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Green Buffaloes FC 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
4 Kabwe 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
5 Roan United 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Zesco 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
7 Nkwazi 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
8 Chirundu United 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
9 Mufulira Wanderers 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
10 Mutondo Stars 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)