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Green Gully vs Altona Magic

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Green Gully Reserve
Fri, Jul 10, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Green Gully play Altona Magic in the NPL Victoria. It looks like a close match. Recently, Green Gully averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Altona Magic averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Green Gully won 0, Altona Magic won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Green Gully and 1.56 for Altona Magic. This points to a Altona Magic double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Green Gully
34%
Draws
40%
Altona Magic
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Altona Magic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Green Gully picked up more points recently compared to Altona Magic.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Green Gully Clean Sheet 15%
Altona Magic Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Green Gully Altona Magic
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.93 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 NPL Victoria
Altona Magic vs Green Gully
1:1
Jun 27, 2025 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs Altona Magic
2:3
Mar 22, 2025 NPL Victoria
Altona Magic vs Green Gully
0:0
Jun 15, 2024 NPL Victoria
Altona Magic vs Green Gully
0:0
Mar 8, 2024 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs Altona Magic
2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Green Gully 26 / 100
Altona Magic 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Green Gully Altona Magic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Altona Magic or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Green Gully attacking → ← attacking Altona Magic

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Green Gully scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Altona Magic let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Green Gully went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Altona Magic lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 29
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Oakleigh Cannons19125241:1841
2Hume City19124339:2240
3Avondale FC19111753:2534
4Heidelberg Utd1994631:2431
5Melbourne City U211885535:2029
6Preston Lions18112528:1529
7South Melbourne1991929:3228
8George Cross1968525:2626
9Dandenong City SC1975726:2522
10St Albans1964921:3422
11Altona Magic19541021:3519
12Bentleigh Greens19441117:4216
13Dandenong Thunder19331320:4212
14Green Gully19241313:3910