Sport Picks
Green Gully vs Dandenong Thunder
Australia
NPL Victoria Green Gully Reserve, Melbourne 
Match Events
4'
4'
Habib B.
24'
24'
Hope J.
53'
53'
Manyec L.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Victoria game between Green Gully and Dandenong Thunder finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Green Gully.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Green Gully
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Dandenong Thunder come out ahead of Green Gully on wins alone.
- Green Gully are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular NPL Victoria form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Green Gully Clean Sheet 19%
Dandenong Thunder Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Green Gully | Dandenong Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 3.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 3.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2026 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs Dandenong Thunder
3:1
Apr 11, 2026 NPL Victoria
Dandenong Thunder vs Green Gully
1:1
May 16, 2025 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs Dandenong Thunder
3:1
Feb 8, 2025 NPL Victoria
Dandenong Thunder vs Green Gully
2:1
Jun 29, 2024 NPL Victoria
Dandenong Thunder vs Green Gully
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Green Gully Compare
Top Goalscorer Habib B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hope J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Dandenong Thunder Compare
Top Goalscorer Manyec L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Green Gully 85 / 100
Dandenong Thunder 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Green Gully Dandenong Thunder
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dandenong Thunder let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Green Gully has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Dandenong Thunder lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Green Gully VS Dandenong Thunder
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Green Gully
(Home) 17 Jul
Green Gully
3 : 1 Dandenong Thunder
10 Jul
Green Gully
1 : 3 Altona Magic
03 Jul
Green Gully
3 : 0 Bentleigh Greens
28 Jun
South Melbourne
1 : 2 Green Gully
20 Jun
Hume City
3 : 2 Green Gully
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Green Gully
3 : 1 Dandenong Thunder
10 Jul
Green Gully
1 : 3 Altona Magic
03 Jul
Green Gully
3 : 0 Bentleigh Greens
05 Jun
Green Gully
0 : 2 Avondale FC
22 May
Green Gully
0 : 1 Heidelberg Utd
Page 1 of 4
Dandenong Thunder
(Away) 17 Jul
Green Gully
3 : 1 Dandenong Thunder
11 Jul
Dandenong Thunder
2 : 1 Bentleigh Greens
05 Jul
South Melbourne
1 : 0 Dandenong Thunder
27 Jun
Dandenong Thunder
1 : 3 Hume City
20 Jun
Avondale FC
11 : 0 Dandenong Thunder
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Green Gully
3 : 1 Dandenong Thunder
05 Jul
South Melbourne
1 : 0 Dandenong Thunder
20 Jun
Avondale FC
11 : 0 Dandenong Thunder
29 May
Heidelberg Utd
4 : 2 Dandenong Thunder
24 May
Melbourne City U21
2 : 0 Dandenong Thunder
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 44:18 | 47 |
| 2 | Hume City | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 40:25 | 40 |
| 3 | Avondale FC | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 54:28 | 35 |
| 4 | Preston Lions | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 30:16 | 33 |
| 5 | Heidelberg Utd | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33:26 | 33 |
| 6 | South Melbourne | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 31:32 | 32 |
| 7 | Melbourne City U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 37:23 | 30 |
| 8 | George Cross | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 28:28 | 30 |
| 9 | St Albans | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:37 | 24 |
| 10 | Altona Magic | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24:36 | 23 |
| 11 | Dandenong City SC | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | 22 |
| 12 | Bentleigh Greens | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 20:45 | 19 |
| 13 | Dandenong Thunder | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 23:46 | 15 |
| 14 | Green Gully | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17:43 | 13 |
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)