Sport Picks
Green Gully vs Dandenong Thunder Prediction & H2H Stats
Australia
NPL Victoria Green Gully Reserve, Melbourne 
Match Events
4'
4'
Habib B.
24'
24'
Hope J.
53'
53'
Manyec L.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Victoria game between Green Gully and Dandenong Thunder finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Green Gully.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Green Gully
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Dandenong Thunder come out ahead of Green Gully on wins alone.
- Green Gully are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular NPL Victoria form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Green Gully Clean Sheet 19%
Dandenong Thunder Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Green Gully | Dandenong Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 18 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 2.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2026 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs Dandenong Thunder
3:1
Apr 11, 2026 NPL Victoria
Dandenong Thunder vs Green Gully
1:1
May 16, 2025 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs Dandenong Thunder
3:1
Feb 8, 2025 NPL Victoria
Dandenong Thunder vs Green Gully
2:1
Jun 29, 2024 NPL Victoria
Dandenong Thunder vs Green Gully
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Green Gully Compare
Top Goalscorer Habib B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hope J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28
Dandenong Thunder Compare
Top Goalscorer Manyec L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Green Gully 85 / 100
Dandenong Thunder 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Green Gully Dandenong Thunder
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Green Gully Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dandenong Thunder let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.
Dandenong Thunder lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Green Gully scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Green Gully VS Dandenong Thunder
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Green Gully
(Home) 29 Aug
Melbourne City U21
1 : 2 Green Gully
21 Aug
Green Gully
1 : 2 St Albans
14 Aug
Oakleigh Cannons
4 : 1 Green Gully
31 Jul
Preston Lions
2 : 2 Green Gully
24 Jul
Green Gully
0 : 0 Dandenong City SC
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Green Gully
1 : 2 St Albans
24 Jul
Green Gully
0 : 0 Dandenong City SC
17 Jul
Green Gully
3 : 1 Dandenong Thunder
10 Jul
Green Gully
1 : 3 Altona Magic
03 Jul
Green Gully
3 : 0 Bentleigh Greens
Page 1 of 3
Dandenong Thunder
(Away) 29 Aug
St Albans
6 : 0 Dandenong Thunder
22 Aug
Dandenong Thunder
0 : 5 Oakleigh Cannons
16 Aug
Preston Lions
3 : 0 Dandenong Thunder
01 Aug
Dandenong Thunder
0 : 3 Dandenong City SC
25 Jul
Dandenong Thunder
0 : 2 Altona Magic
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
St Albans
6 : 0 Dandenong Thunder
16 Aug
Preston Lions
3 : 0 Dandenong Thunder
17 Jul
Green Gully
3 : 1 Dandenong Thunder
05 Jul
South Melbourne
1 : 0 Dandenong Thunder
20 Jun
Avondale FC
11 : 0 Dandenong Thunder
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 56:24 | 54 |
| 2 | Hume City | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 51:36 | 49 |
| 3 | Avondale FC | 26 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 65:34 | 47 |
| 4 | South Melbourne | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 5 | Heidelberg Utd | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 42:34 | 40 |
| 6 | Preston Lions | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 41:19 | 39 |
| 7 | George Cross | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 35:34 | 38 |
| 8 | St Albans | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36:43 | 34 |
| 9 | Dandenong City SC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:31 | 33 |
| 10 | Melbourne City U21 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:42 | 30 |
| 11 | Altona Magic | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:42 | 28 |
| 12 | Bentleigh Greens | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:51 | 24 |
| 13 | Green Gully | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:52 | 18 |
| 14 | Dandenong Thunder | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 23:65 | 15 |
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
