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Green Gully vs Melbourne City U21

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Green Gully Reserve, Melbourne
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Kur K.
40' Event
Memeti M.
52' Event
Memeti M.

AI Match Summary

Melbourne City U21 in this NPL Victoria matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Melbourne City U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Green Gully
20%
Draws
0%
Melbourne City U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Green Gully

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Melbourne City U21 lately — more wins on the board than Green Gully.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Green Gully taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Green Gully Clean Sheet 16%
Melbourne City U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Green Gully Melbourne City U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 NPL Victoria
Melbourne City U21 vs Green Gully
1:2
May 15, 2026 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs Melbourne City U21
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Green Gully Compare

Top Goalscorer Kur K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Melbourne City U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Memeti M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ballah R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Green Gully 84 / 100
Melbourne City U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Green Gully Melbourne City U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Green Gully Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Melbourne City U21 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Melbourne City U21's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Green Gully found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Green Gully VS Melbourne City U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Green Gully

(Home)
29 Aug
Melbourne City U21
1 : 2
Green Gully
21 Aug
Green Gully
1 : 2
St Albans
14 Aug
Oakleigh Cannons
4 : 1
Green Gully
31 Jul
Preston Lions
2 : 2
Green Gully
24 Jul
Green Gully
0 : 0
Dandenong City SC
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Melbourne City U21

(Away)
29 Aug
Melbourne City U21
1 : 2
Green Gully
22 Aug
Melbourne City U21
2 : 6
Bentleigh Greens
19 Aug
Preston Lions
4 : 0
Melbourne City U21
15 Aug
Melbourne City U21
0 : 3
South Melbourne
01 Aug
Hume City
1 : 0
Melbourne City U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oakleigh Cannons 26 16 6 4 56:24 54
2 Hume City 26 15 4 7 51:36 49
3 Avondale FC 26 15 2 9 65:34 47
4 South Melbourne 26 13 2 11 39:36 41
5 Heidelberg Utd 26 11 7 8 42:34 40
6 Preston Lions 26 15 6 5 41:19 39
7 George Cross 26 9 11 6 35:34 38
8 St Albans 26 9 7 10 36:43 34
9 Dandenong City SC 26 10 7 9 35:31 33
10 Melbourne City U21 26 8 6 12 42:42 30
11 Altona Magic 26 7 7 12 28:42 28
12 Bentleigh Greens 26 6 6 14 27:51 24
13 Green Gully 26 4 6 16 23:52 18
14 Dandenong Thunder 26 4 3 19 23:65 15
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)