Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Greenfield advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caersws FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Caersws FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Caersws FC taking it.
- Caersws FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Greenfield, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Greenfield Clean Sheet 20%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Greenfield | Caersws FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 10 | 32 |
| Wins | 5 | 15 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 1.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 19, 2019 FAW Welsh Cup
Greenfield vs Caersws FC
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Greenfield 10 / 100
Caersws FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Greenfield Caersws FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caersws FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Greenfield scored in 70% of their last 10 outings.
Caersws FC has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.
Greenfield went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Caersws FC
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Greenfield
(Home) 28 Jun
Greenfield
0 : 6 Prestatyn
06 Jul
Greenfield
1 : 0 Kinmel Bay
09 Nov
Greenfield
1 : 3 Flint Town
19 Oct
Greenfield
3 : 1 Caersws FC
03 Dec
Greenfield
0 : 3 Guilsfield
Page 1 of 2
28 Jun
Greenfield
0 : 6 Prestatyn
06 Jul
Greenfield
1 : 0 Kinmel Bay
09 Nov
Greenfield
1 : 3 Flint Town
19 Oct
Greenfield
3 : 1 Caersws FC
03 Dec
Greenfield
0 : 3 Guilsfield
Page 1 of 2
Caersws FC
(Away) 12 Sept
Caersws FC
0 : 2 Brickfield Rangers
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3 Caersws FC
31 Aug
Caersws FC
2 : 0 Buckley
28 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 3 Caersws FC
15 Aug
Rhyl
4 : 2 Caersws FC
Page 1 of 7
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3 Caersws FC
28 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 3 Caersws FC
15 Aug
Rhyl
4 : 2 Caersws FC
01 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2 Caersws FC
11 Apr
Guilsfield
4 : 1 Caersws FC
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ammanford Town 4
Cardiff Draconians 1
Builth 2
Ton Pentre 3
Garden Village 1
Goytre Utd 3
Cefn Cribwr 2
Tredegar Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
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TBD -
Chirk AAA FC 0
Llannefydd 3
Guilsfield 2
Brymbo 1
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Pontardawe 3
Croesyceiliog FC 2
Abergavenny Town 1
Holyhead 4
Montgomery 2
Blaenau 0
Buckley 2
Abertillery Bluebirds 3
Penparcau FC 1
Trefelin 2
Llanidloes Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Afan Lido 3
Monmouth 1
Aberbargoed Buds 3
Aberaeron 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Llandudno FC 3
Mynydd Isa 3
Llanfair United 5
Penybont -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanberis FC 0
Porthmadog 7
Coedpoeth 0
Gresford 5
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontypridd United 3
Caerau Ely 1
Llantwit Major 0
Llandrindod 1
Greenfield 3
Caersws FC 1
Flint Town 9
Four Crosses 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Nantlle Vale FC 2
Rhydymwyn 0
Corwen 2
Colwyn Bay 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Briton Ferry 2
Undy 3
Pure Swansea 4
Caerleon 1
Haverfordwest 5
Penlan Club 3
Cambrian United 7
Ynyshir Albions 3
Llanelli 2
Cwmamman United 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Cardiff Corries 1
Nefyn United 0
Bangor City 2
Llanrhaeadr 1
Prestatyn 4
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterloo Rovers 1
Mold Alexandra 8
Llanrug 1
Aberffraw 0
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor 1876 4
Penycae FC 3
Conwy Borough 1
Ruthin Town 2
Barry Town -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Rhyl 2
Llangefni 0
Prestatyn Sports 2
Queens Park 3
Chepstow Town 3
Taffs Well 2
Cwmaman Institute 2
STM Sports 6
1/32-finals
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Ammanford Town 3
Ton Pentre 1
Goytre Utd 6
Cefn Cribwr 4
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
Llannefydd 1
Guilsfield 5
Pontardawe 6
Croesyceiliog FC 1
Holyhead 0
Buckley 3
Abertillery Bluebirds 4
Llanidloes Town 3
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Afan Lido 2
Aberbargoed Buds 1
Llandudno FC 4
Llanfair United 1
Penybont -
TBD -
Porthmadog 4
Gresford 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Pontypridd United 1
Llandrindod 0
Greenfield 1
Flint Town 3
TBD -
Bala -
Nantlle Vale FC 0
Colwyn Bay 1
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Undy 5
Pure Swansea 6
Haverfordwest 1
Cambrian United 2
Llanelli 0
Penrhyncoch 1
Bangor City 0
Prestatyn 3
TNS -
TBD -
Mold Alexandra 8
Llanrug 1
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
Bangor 1876 0
Ruthin Town 2
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Rhyl 3
Queens Park 0
Chepstow Town 0
STM Sports 5
1/16-finals
Carmarthen Town 0
Ammanford Town 4
Goytre Utd 0
Caernarfon 4
Cefn Druids 2
Guilsfield 0
Pontardawe 3
Buckley 1
Abertillery Bluebirds 0
Connahs Q. 3
Afan Lido 5
Llandudno FC 1
Penybont 6
Porthmadog 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Pontypridd United 0
Flint Town 2
Bala 0
Colwyn Bay 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Pure Swansea 3
Cambrian United 0
Penrhyncoch 1
Prestatyn 2
TNS 9
Mold Alexandra 0
Aberystwyth 2
Ruthin Town 1
Barry Town 0
Newtown 1
Rhyl 2
STM Sports 0
1/8-finals
Ammanford Town 0
Caernarfon 4
Cefn Druids 2
Pontardawe 0
Connahs Q. 8
Afan Lido 0
Penybont 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Flint Town 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Pure Swansea 0
Prestatyn 1
TNS 4
Aberystwyth 0
Newtown 4
Rhyl 1
Quarter-finals
Caernarfon 4
Cefn Druids 0
Connahs Q. 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Flint Town 0
Prestatyn 1
TNS 6
Newtown 1
Semi-finals
Caernarfon -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Prestatyn -
TNS -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
