Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers

USA USA

USL Cup Paladin Stadium
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Greenville Triumph host Richmond Kickers in the USL Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Richmond Kickers have shipped 2.88 goals a game lately, while Greenville Triumph have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Greenville Triumph slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 0.94, favoring Greenville Triumph. API prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Greenville Triumph
22%
Draws
18%
Richmond Kickers
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Greenville Triumph

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Greenville Triumph's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what Richmond Kickers have produced (0.5).
  • Win probability leans Greenville Triumph's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Cup games in USL Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 20%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greenville Triumph Richmond Kickers
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers
0:3
Jul 20, 2025 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers
2:0
May 2, 2025 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Greenville Triumph
3:3
Aug 16, 2024 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers
1:1
Jul 20, 2024 USL Cup
Richmond Kickers vs Greenville Triumph
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greenville Triumph 58 / 100
Richmond Kickers 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greenville Triumph Richmond Kickers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GVL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Richmond Kickers let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Richmond Kickers lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Greenville Triumph found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Greenville Triumph VS Richmond Kickers
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

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5Phoenix Rising31022:63
6Orange County SC30033:60
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2Birmingham Legion32015:26
3One Knoxville32014:34
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5Corpus Christi FC31021:43
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1Louisville City33009:28
2Indy Eleven43017:47
3Lexington32016:46
4Union Omaha32017:86
5Detroit City31022:35
6Fort Wayne30035:101
7Forward Madison30032:70
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3Rhode Island32015:25
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1Charleston33007:18
2Charlotte Independence33005:28
3Pittsburgh Riverhounds31024:35
4Loudoun United31024:53
5Greenville Triumph31023:53
6Richmond Kickers30031:80
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