Sport Picks
Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers
USA
USL Cup Paladin Stadium, Greenville, SC 
Match Events
22'
22'
Vinberg S.
27'
27'
Meek L.
43'
43'
Richman A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Richmond Kickers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Greenville Triumph's 1.03 goals per match outpaces what Richmond Kickers have produced (1).
- Win probability leans Richmond Kickers's way, sitting at 50%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Richmond Kickers, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 18%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Greenville Triumph | Richmond Kickers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 18 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 2.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 USL Cup
Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers
1:2
May 9, 2026 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers
0:3
Jul 20, 2025 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers
2:0
May 2, 2025 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Greenville Triumph
3:3
Aug 16, 2024 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Greenville Triumph Compare
Top Goalscorer Meek L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Richmond Kickers Compare
Top Goalscorer Howell B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Greenville Triumph 23 / 100
Richmond Kickers 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Greenville Triumph Richmond Kickers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Richmond Kickers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Richmond Kickers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Difficult form: Richmond Kickers registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Greenville Triumph scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Greenville Triumph VS Richmond Kickers
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Greenville Triumph
(Home) 26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1 Corpus Christi FC
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
05 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 1 Greenville Triumph
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1 Corpus Christi FC
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0 FC Naples
15 Aug
Greenville Triumph
1 : 1 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 3
Richmond Kickers
(Away) 27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2 Richmond Kickers
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Charlotte Independence
16 Sept
Westchester SC
5 : 2 Richmond Kickers
12 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
02 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 0 Richmond Kickers
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2 Richmond Kickers
16 Sept
Westchester SC
5 : 2 Richmond Kickers
02 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 0 Richmond Kickers
16 Aug
Union Omaha
5 : 1 Richmond Kickers
25 Jul
Charlotte Independence
3 : 1 Richmond Kickers
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spokane Velocity | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 9 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Athletic Club Boise | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 4 | Oakland Roots | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Las Vegas Lights | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 6 | Monterey Bay | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 3 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado Springs | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 12 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 4 | AV Alta FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 6 | Orange County SC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 0 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Antonio FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 11 |
| 2 | Birmingham Legion | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 3 | One Knoxville | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 5 | Corpus Christi FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | 2 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louisville City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Indy Eleven | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Lexington | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Union Omaha | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:12 | 6 |
| 6 | Forward Madison | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Fort Wayne | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:12 | 1 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hartford Athletic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Rhode Island | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Brooklyn FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 5 | New York Cosmos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 6 | Westchester SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 2 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Charleston | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Greenville Triumph | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Loudoun United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 6 | Richmond Kickers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Miami FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Sporting Jax | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Sarasota Paradise | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:9 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Naples | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 6 | South Georgia Tormenta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
