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Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Paladin Stadium, Greenville, SC
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Greenville Triumph host Spokane Velocity in the USL League One. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Spokane Velocity have shipped 1.36 goals a game lately, while Greenville Triumph have conceded 1.86 and scored 0.93. Head-to-head, Greenville Triumph have won 3 to Spokane Velocity's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 2.00) point toward Spokane Velocity. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Greenville Triumph
20%
Draws
80%
Spokane Velocity
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spokane Velocity

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Spokane Velocity have won more games recently than Greenville Triumph.
  • Win probability leans Spokane Velocity's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 10%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greenville Triumph Spokane Velocity
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity
0:4
Oct 13, 2024 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph
2:3
May 26, 2024 USL Cup
Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greenville Triumph 10 / 100
Spokane Velocity 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greenville Triumph Spokane Velocity

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spokane Velocity Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spokane Velocity has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Greenville Triumph scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Spokane Velocity's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Greenville Triumph VS Spokane Velocity
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Greenville Triumph

(Home)
03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0
Greenville Triumph
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3
Union Omaha
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0
Greenville Triumph
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1
Corpus Christi FC
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3
Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 6

Spokane Velocity

(Away)
04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3
Portland Hearts of Pine
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1
Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1
Spokane Velocity
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1
Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 29 19 4 6 53:31 61
2 Charlotte Independence 29 18 6 5 67:42 60
3 Forward Madison 29 15 7 7 50:27 52
4 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
5 Athletic Club Boise 29 14 7 8 45:39 49
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 29 11 9 9 45:37 42
9 FC Naples 29 11 4 14 34:44 37
10 Corpus Christi FC 29 9 9 11 33:43 36
11 Westchester SC 29 9 6 14 48:46 33
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 39:43 33
13 AV Alta FC 29 8 8 13 35:42 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 29 7 10 12 43:53 31
15 New York Cosmos 28 7 4 17 36:56 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 30:52 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 6 5 18 30:60 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)