Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grei vs Union Carl Berner

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Rosland E.

AI Match Summary

Union Carl Berner in this Division 3 - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Carl Berner.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Grei
15%
Draws
42%
Union Carl Berner
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Grei lately — more wins on the board than Union Carl Berner.
  • Union Carl Berner are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Grei Clean Sheet 10%
Union Carl Berner Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grei Union Carl Berner
Matches Played 29 19
Wins 9 8
Draws 2 0
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 2.03 1.37
Goals Conceded 3.14 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Grei vs Union Carl Berner
0:1
Jun 20, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Union Carl Berner vs Grei
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grei Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Union Carl Berner Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosland E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grei 26 / 100
Union Carl Berner 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grei Union Carl Berner

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Carl Berner Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grei found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Union Carl Berner's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 19 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Union Carl Berner's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Grei VS Union Carl Berner
1.13 Goals Scored 1
3.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grei

(Home)
05 Sept
Grei
0 : 1
Union Carl Berner
01 Sept
Nordstrand
3 : 5
Grei
22 Aug
Grei
0 : 4
Lyn
15 Aug
Grei
1 : 7
Baerum
08 Aug
Lokomotiv Oslo
1 : 0
Grei
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Union Carl Berner

(Away)
05 Sept
Grei
0 : 1
Union Carl Berner
15 Aug
Ullern
4 : 1
Union Carl Berner
07 Aug
Union Carl Berner
1 : 2
Konnerud
31 Jul
Gamle Oslo
3 : 1
Union Carl Berner
27 Jul
Union Carl Berner
1 : 2
Asker
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