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Greifswalder FC vs Altglienicke - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Nietfeld J.
(Penalty)
28' Event
Kroll-Thiel C.
32' Event
Hartl J.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost game between Greifswalder FC and Altglienicke finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Altglienicke.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Greifswalder FC
20%
Draws
42%
Altglienicke
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Altglienicke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Altglienicke carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Greifswalder FC Clean Sheet 13%
Altglienicke Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greifswalder FC Altglienicke
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 11 7
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2.07 2
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Altglienicke
1:3
Apr 24, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Altglienicke
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Altglienicke vs Greifswalder FC
1:2
Apr 17, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Altglienicke
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Altglienicke vs Greifswalder FC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greifswalder FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kroll-Thiel C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Altglienicke Compare

Top Goalscorer Hartl J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nietfeld J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greifswalder FC 30 / 100
Altglienicke 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greifswalder FC Altglienicke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Greifswalder FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greifswalder FC's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Altglienicke's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Greifswalder FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Greifswalder FC VS Altglienicke
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Greifswalder FC

(Home)
25 Sept
BFC Dynamo
1 : 0
Greifswalder FC
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1
Luckenwalde
16 Sept
Rsv Eintracht
1 : 2
Greifswalder FC
13 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 3
Lokomotive Leipzig
30 Aug
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 2
Greifswalder FC
Page 1 of 6

Altglienicke

(Away)
09 Oct
Altglienicke
0 : 1
BFC Dynamo
25 Sept
Magdeburg II
0 : 1
Altglienicke
19 Sept
Altglienicke
3 : 1
Rsv Eintracht
15 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 2
Altglienicke
11 Sept
Altglienicke
0 : 2
Chemnitzer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 BFC Dynamo 12 7 3 2 21:12 24
4 Jena 12 7 1 4 21:11 22
5 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
6 Altglienicke 12 6 3 3 20:15 21
7 Aue 11 6 3 2 20:16 21
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Zwickau 12 5 3 4 15:17 18
10 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
11 Magdeburg II 12 4 1 7 21:25 13
12 Babelsberg 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 BFC Preussen 12 2 5 5 15:18 11
14 Hertha Berlin II 12 2 4 6 10:22 10
15 Chemie Leipzig 12 2 3 7 13:20 9
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 Luckenwalde 12 2 0 10 12:29 6
18 SV Tasmania Berlin 12 1 2 9 13:38 5
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)