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Greifswalder FC vs Aue - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

Greifswalder FC host Aue in the Regionalliga Nordost. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Greifswalder FC at 2 goals for, 1.23 against; Aue at 2.21 for, 1.76 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.56) point toward Greifswalder FC. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Greifswalder FC
30%
Draws
39%
Aue
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aue

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Aue at 2.21 per game, Greifswalder FC at 2.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Greifswalder FC taking it.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Greifswalder FC Clean Sheet 15%
Aue Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greifswalder FC Aue
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greifswalder FC 41 / 100
Aue 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greifswalder FC Aue

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Greifswalder FC's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Aue has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Greifswalder FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Aue registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Greifswalder FC VS Aue
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Greifswalder FC

(Home)
25 Sept
BFC Dynamo
1 : 0
Greifswalder FC
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1
Luckenwalde
16 Sept
Rsv Eintracht
1 : 2
Greifswalder FC
13 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 3
Lokomotive Leipzig
30 Aug
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 2
Greifswalder FC
Page 1 of 7

Aue

(Away)
27 Sept
Aue
1 : 2
Chemie Leipzig
19 Sept
Erfurt
2 : 2
Aue
16 Sept
Magdeburg II
1 : 2
Aue
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
30 Aug
Lokomotive Leipzig
1 : 2
Aue
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
4 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 20:12 21
5 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 20:14 21
6 Aue 11 6 3 2 20:16 21
7 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
10 Zwickau 11 4 3 4 13:17 15
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 Babelsberg 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 BFC Preussen 11 2 4 5 14:17 10
14 Chemie Leipzig 11 2 3 6 12:17 9
15 Hertha Berlin II 11 2 3 6 9:21 9
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 11 1 2 8 13:36 5
18 Luckenwalde 11 1 0 10 9:28 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)